Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
457
FNUS54 KMAF 192107
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
407 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR 20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
MORE, RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MOST OF WEST TEXAS...
.DISCUSSION...
Min RH below critical 15% down into the single digits southwest
of Pecos River as well as southwest winds for this region at least
20 miles per hour this afternoon and evening, dry to extremely
dry fuels, ERCs up to at least the 50th percentile, and poor
overnight recovery all yield RFTIs 6 to 7 and critical to extreme
fire weather southwest of Pecos River today. A Red Flag Warning is
in effect through this evening along and west and southwest of
Pecos River =. Below average temperatures Sunday decrease fire
weather conditions. Warmer than average temperatures Monday with
persistent min RH below critical for Sacramento Foothills result
in RFTIs up to 4 and elevated fire weather risk. Min RH remaining
below critical and southwest winds at least 20 miles per hour each
afternoon and evening after Monday into end of next week result
in elevated to near critical fire weather conditions for this same
region thereafter.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-200915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
307 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 33 (-11) 71 (+12) 39 79
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+2) 9 (-19) 37 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 NW 9 W 8 SW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 W 10 W 5 S 11
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 31 21 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7390 10710
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 18 SW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 133020 203490
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 4 1 1 3
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or
below 15 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-200915-
Chaves Plains-
307 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-10) 73 (+11) 39 82
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+18) 13 (-21) 53 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 17 NW 9 W 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 NW 9 Lgt/Var S 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 42 35 22 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8200 9720
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 19 S 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 155800 184680
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 0 0 1
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-200915-
Eddy Plains-
307 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 39 (-13) 75 (+2) 44 85
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+9) 11 (-6) 42 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 NW 9 S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 NW 7 SW 5 S 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 49 38 14 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7780 9860
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 14 S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108920 177480
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 4 0 0 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-200915-
Lea-
307 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-15) 72 (+2) 42 82
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+17) 14 (-7) 55 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 17 NW 14 SW 6 S 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 NW 11 S 5 S 11
Wind 10000 FT MSL 55 39 15 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6980 9600
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 20 S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139600 172800
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 1
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-200915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
407 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 /307 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 37 (-12) 68 (0) 45 80
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+13) 10 (-2) 23 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 33 W 11 W 8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 18 W 10 W 5 S 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 48 20 13 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4860 9340
Transport Wnd (kts) W 15 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72900 149440
Vent Category Good Very good
RFTI 6 1 1 1
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or
below 15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-200915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
407 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 42 (-17) 79 (-4) 45 89
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+8) 6 (-1) 38 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 NW 8 W 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 W 7 Lgt/Var SE 7
Wind 10000 FT MSL 53 39 11 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6630 9790
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 15 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99450 156640
Vent Category Good Excellent
RFTI 8 0 0 0
RFTI Category Extreme Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-062-063-070-200915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Midland-Glasscock-Reagan-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Midland, Garden City,
and Big Lake
407 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 80 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 41 (-19) 73 (-1) 46 82
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+20) 18 (-12) 74 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 16 NW 11 Lgt/Var S 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10 NW 10 S 5 S 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 53 48 18 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6070 8140
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 18 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 109260 138380
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ059>061-067>069-075-082-274-200915-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Ward-Crane-Upton-Pecos-Terrell-
Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Monahans, Crane,
McCamey, Rankin, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
407 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-17) 79 (-6) 46 87
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+17) 10 (-4) 60 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 18 NW 10 Lgt/Var SE 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11 NW 8 Lgt/Var SE 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 54 43 22 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6590 8510
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 16 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 105440 136160
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 5 0 0 0
RFTI Category Critical Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 80. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
$$