Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
608
FNUS54 KMAF 120820
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
320 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR 20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...
.DISCUSSION...
A Red Flag Warning has been issued for today across the entire region.
Strong winds associated with a storm system combined with ERC values
well into the 90th percentile will provide favorable conditions for
rapid wildfire growth and spread. MinRH values will range from the
single digits to the teens this afternoon. The most critical conditions
will be in the higher elevations west of the Pecos River and adjacent
plains
Thursday will see a brief lull in winds, though the Guadalupe Mountains
may still see near critical to low end critical red flag conditions. A
more potent system arrives Friday, bringing very windy conditions to the
entire area. Despite cooler temperatures behind the cold front, very dry
fuels and strong winds mean more critical fire weather conditions are
expected, even worse than what will be seen today. Conditions improve
Saturday, though will remain elevated before light winds arrive Sunday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-122200-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
220 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (-5) 36 (-6) 70
RH % (24h trend) 16 (+10) 52 (+24) 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 W 21 W 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 27 W 13 SW 28
Wind 10000 FT MSL 58 33 47
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8000 6430
Transport Wnd (kts) W 36 SW 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288000 250770
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Very windy. Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of rain
and snow showers. Patchy blowing dust through the night, then
blowing dust through the day. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
30 to 45 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain
and snow showers. Areas of blowing dust through the night. Patchy
blowing dust through the day. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Areas of blowing dust through
the day. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 30 mph.
$$
NMZ117-122200-
Chaves Plains-
220 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-4) 37 (-3) 76
RH % (24h trend) 13 (+6) 61 (+34) 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 W 16 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 23 W 6 SW 18
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 32 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10680 7960
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 SW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288360 238800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Very windy. Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Patchy blowing dust through the night, then areas of
blowing dust through the day. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around
60. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
20 to 40 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust through the night.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust through the day.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NMZ118-122200-
Eddy Plains-
220 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-4) 41 (-4) 77
RH % (24h trend) 14 (+8) 53 (+27) 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 16 W 18 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 27 W 8 SW 22
Wind 10000 FT MSL 58 29 44
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9480 7120
Transport Wnd (kts) W 37 SW 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 350760 242080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Very windy. Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of
showers. Patchy blowing dust through the night, then areas of
blowing dust through the day. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
60. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
25 to 40 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs around 60. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
West winds around 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust through the day.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NMZ119-122200-
Lea-
220 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-4) 38 (-5) 77
RH % (24h trend) 12 (+6) 55 (+32) 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 18 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 28 W 8 SW 18
Wind 10000 FT MSL 52 35 39
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10590 7060
Transport Wnd (kts) W 34 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 360060 211800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 4 5
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Very windy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust through
the night, then areas of blowing dust through the day. Lows
around 40. Highs around 60. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. West winds 15 to 40 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust through the night.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust through the day.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-122200-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
320 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025 /220 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (-5) 40 (-4) 71
RH % (24h trend) 16 (+9) 52 (+24) 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 29 W 29 W 21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 39 W 18 SW 31
Wind 10000 FT MSL 56 35 45
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5030 6390
Transport Wnd (kts) W 41 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 206230 204480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Strong winds. Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of rain
showers. Blowing dust. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds 30 to
55 mph.
.SATURDAY...Very windy. Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of
rain and snow showers. Blowing dust through the night, then areas
of blowing dust through the day. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
around 50. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
30 to 45 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Areas of blowing dust through the night.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Areas of blowing dust through
the day. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to
25 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-122200-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
320 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-3) 41 (-6) 85
RH % (24h trend) 10 (+5) 46 (+22) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 14 W 18 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 30 W 8 SW 16
Wind 10000 FT MSL 51 40 35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7270 7690
Transport Wnd (kts) W 40 SW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 290800 215320
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 5 6
RFTI Category Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows
around 40. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust through the night.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows around 40. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-122200-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
320 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-5) 43 (-3) 84
RH % (24h trend) 11 (+5) 49 (+24) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 W 17 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 28 W 8 SW 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 52 39 35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9530 7510
Transport Wnd (kts) W 40 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 381200 187750
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 5 3
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Areas of blowing dust through the
day. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to
35 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. West winds around 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
$$