Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
169
FNUS54 KMAF 261858
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT SUNDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Sunday, near critical to extreme conditions are expected over the
Upper Trans Pecos, the mountains, and southeastern New Mexico as
a surface low increases southwesterly winds and the dryline positions
itself over the Permian Basin. Critical MinRH values will persist
behind the dryline through the next several days. Rainfall today
for some portions of southeast New Mexico (Lea County mainly) may
mitigate these concerns. ERCs remain above the 50th percentile up
to the 75-89th for many locations west of the Pecos.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-270915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1258 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-4) 86 (+7) 48 81
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-42) 6 (-4) 24 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11 SW 13 SW 29 W 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 29 W 15 SW 24
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 48 65 49
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13350 10240
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 46 SW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 614100 368640
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 8 8 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-270915-
Chaves Plains-
1258 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-5) 91 (+10) 50 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+12) 7 (-22) 27 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 S 12 SW 22 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10 SW 23 SW 10 SW 17
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 40 67 32
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14430 12140
Transport Wnd (kts) S 41 SW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 591630 388480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 7 6 6
RFTI Category Nil Extreme Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-270915-
Eddy Plains-
1258 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-5) 95 (+11) 56 91
RH % (24h trend) 93 (0) 7 (-8) 26 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 12 S 10 SW 23 W 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 SW 22 SW 11 SW 18
Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 40 64 44
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 15420 11650
Transport Wnd (kts) S 36 SW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 555120 361150
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 7 7 7
RFTI Category Elevated Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-270915-
Lea-
1258 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-2) 93 (+14) 54 90
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+7) 9 (-31) 53 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 S 13 SW 19 SW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 SW 19 S 11 SW 18
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 33 47 40
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14760 11390
Transport Wnd (kts) S 34 SW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 501840 353090
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 6 6 6
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-270915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 /1258 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-2) 88 (+9) 53 85
RH % (24h trend) 22 (-74) 7 (-1) 18 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9 SW 13 SW 31 W 21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 29 W 14 SW 27
Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 40 52 40
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14210 10720
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 38 SW 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 539980 364480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 7 8 7
RFTI Category Elevated Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. West winds around 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ279-280-282-270915-
Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Lajitas, and Castolon
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30 20
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-4) 99 (+5) 62 99
RH % (24h trend) 85 (-5) 8 (-1) 69 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 Lgt/Var SE 14 S 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6 SE 9 S 8 S 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 13 33 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12760 11760
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 18 SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 229680 246960
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 2 2 2
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-281-270915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
and Presidio
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-4) 95 (+7) 58 93
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-36) 7 (+1) 52 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 S 7 SW 17 SW 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6 SW 17 S 9 SW 17
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 36 41 32
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 15320 15130
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 35 SW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 536200 453900
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 6 7 6
RFTI Category Nil Critical Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-270915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 10 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-3) 94 (+11) 62 93
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+11) 15 (-29) 78 12
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 14 S 14 S 18 S 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 S 15 S 14 S 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 26 41 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8310 9170
Transport Wnd (kts) S 24 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 199440 210910
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 1 1 2
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-270915-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT SUNDAY...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-7) 98 (+9) 62 96
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-5) 8 (-7) 44 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 8 S 6 SW 15 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8 SW 13 SW 8 SW 12
Wind 10000 FT MSL 19 33 41 30
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 16120 14710
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 32 SW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 515840 397170
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 4 3
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$