Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
286
FNUS54 KMAF 051955
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
155 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected across West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico through Saturday. Consequent critical minRH
combined with increasing 20-ft westerly winds will continue
through Saturday. A Rangeland Fire Danger Statement issuance will
be likely for similar areas heading into tomorrow and Friday.
Higher ERCs will be confined to the south, and not coincident
with elevated fire weather conditions northwest.
A cold front Saturday night will alleviate concerns as cooler air
moves into the region. Recovery overnight will be poor in the
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, as well as the Sacramento
Foothills, but moderate to excellent elsewhere. Recovery Wednesday
night will be poor over most of Southeast New Mexico and areas of
West Texas to the south, but moderate to excellent elsewhere. By
early next week, fire weather conditions remain low as higher
minRH values spread across most of the region, besides in the Presidio
Valley region.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-061045-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1255 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 39 (-8) 79 (+3) 42 81
RH % (24h trend) 23 (-6) 5 (-2) 22 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 10 SW 12 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 SW 15 W 11 SW 15
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 31 46 46
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4790 5230
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 114960 130750
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 4 6 4 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-061045-
Chaves Plains-
1255 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 36 (-6) 81 (+1) 35 84
RH % (24h trend) 40 (-40) 8 (-1) 38 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 Lgt/Var SW 7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 5 S 8 SW 5 SW 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 27 38 33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3530 3440
Transport Wnd (kts) W 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56480 48160
Vent Category Fair Fair
RFTI 2 2 1 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-061045-
Eddy Plains-
1255 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (-8) 83 (+1) 42 86
RH % (24h trend) 30 (-37) 7 (-2) 33 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 13 NW 6 SW 9 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 SW 11 SW 6 SW 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 29 39 39
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4740 4800
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99540 100800
Vent Category Good Very good
RFTI 4 5 2 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Elevated Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-061045-
Lea-
1255 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 39 (-9) 83 (+2) 43 86
RH % (24h trend) 34 (-65) 7 (-2) 36 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 10 NW 6 SW 8 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 7 SW 9 SW 6 SW 12
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 31 35 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4740 4680
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85320 79560
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 2 1 0 2
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-061045-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
155 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025 /1255 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025/
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-4) 78 (+6) 47 79
RH % (24h trend) 21 (-10) 8 (-3) 24 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 20 W 12 W 12 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 16 W 11 W 18
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 28 41 41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3610 3580
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75810 85920
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 5 5 4 6
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-061045-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
155 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 46 (-4) 87 (+6) 48 89
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-17) 7 (-7) 51 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 5 SW 8 Lgt/Var SW 7
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 19 26 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5620 5360
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 15 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84300 85760
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 1 1 0 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-061045-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
155 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-8) 88 (+5) 45 90
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+2) 7 (-14) 93 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 W 5 S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7 SW 7 S 5 SW 7
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 27 31 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4430 4670
Transport Wnd (kts) W 12 SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53160 70050
Vent Category Fair Good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of freezing rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$