806
FXUS64 KMAF 121122
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
622 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 621 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

- Isolated to scattered storm chances exist this and tomorrow
  afternoon, mainly across the higher elevations.

- Cold front approaches the region on Sunday bringing higher rain
  chances through Monday. Will be monitoring for heavy rainfall
  leading to flash flooding.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Similar to Thursday, Friday will see near normal temperatures with
highs in the 90s for most with 100s down along the Rio Grande and
across Big Bend. Little steering flow aloft and continued abundant
moisture will provide just enough for storms to develop across the
western half of the CWA this afternoon. These storms will mainly be
diurnally driven and decay after sunset this evening. Overnight lows
settle into the 60s and 70s for many. Saturday sees temperatures
move up a few degrees compared to today, but will be a similar day
as far as showers and storms are concerned with the best chances for
rain (10-20%) remaining across the higher elevations.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Saturday afternoon convection ends that evening and a cold front
approaches from the north later that night and into the day on
Sunday. Given the time of year, it will be tough for this front to
make it southward into our area during the day on Sunday. With the
front stalling near or just north of the Pecos River and a weak
upper level disturbance rain chances increase nearly areawide with
the best chances (30-60%) existing over the Permian Basin and
southeast New Mexico. Medium range guidance keeps things unsettled
through Monday with scattered showers and storms remaining through
the day. Cloud cover and storms keep temperatures below normal for
Monday and Tuesday with most in the 80s and 90s. Beyond Tuesday, a
drier and warmer summer pattern takes hold, but longer range
guidance has not come into consensus on just how much warmer the
region will be.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

VFR continues at all sites. MVFR CIGs sit just to southeast of
MAF/FST. Southeasterly winds continue for the day outside of any
convection. TS possible for CNM/PEQ, but confidence too low for
inclusion elsewhere.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               94  73  97  72 /  20  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 97  70 101  70 /  30  30  10  10
Dryden                   96  74  98  74 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            95  71  99  71 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           88  67  92  69 /  40  20  10  10
Hobbs                    93  68  97  67 /  20  10   0  20
Marfa                    90  61  91  61 /  70  30  20   0
Midland Intl Airport     93  72  96  72 /  10  10   0   0
Odessa                   93  72  96  72 /  10  10   0   0
Wink                     95  72 100  72 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...93