895
FXUS64 KMAF 282312
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
612 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 611 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

- Hazardous heat continues today before temperatures cool a degree
  or two tomorrow. An additional Heat Advisory is in effect
  tomorrow across the higher terrain due to the prolonged heat
  increasing the risk of heat-related illnesses.

- There will be a slight chance for rain along with a weak cold
  front this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The hot and mainly dry weather pattern persists today and tomorrow.
Current satellite imagery and latest RAP analysis has the upper
ridge of high pressure over the region promoting this pattern to
continue. Hazardous heat is expected again this afternoon across the
Eddy County Plains, far West Texas, and higher terrain. Widespread
triple digit high temperatures are anticipated regionwide before
cooling a degree or two tomorrow afternoon. An additional Heat
Advisory has been issued for the Davis, Guadalupe, Chinati
Mountains, and Chisos Basin tomorrow afternoon. Even though tomorrow
will consist of slightly cooler temperatures, the prolonged stretch
of heat increases the risk of heat-related illnesses. Other than the
heat, an isolated storm or two cannot be ruled out across far west
Texas and the Presidio Valley each day. Most, if not at all
locations are going to remain dry.

Lamberson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The center of an upper level ridge shifts from eastern New Mexico
toward the Desert Southwest late this week and into the weekend.
Subsidence below the ridge generally keeps hot and dry conditions in
the forecast through the remainder of the workweek. However,
gradually decreasing heights allow for slightly cooler conditions
compared to earlier in the week. Temperatures Thursday and Friday
are forecast to top out in the upper 90s and triple digits, with
Friday being the hotter of the two days. The hottest conditions are
expected near and along the Rio Grande, where highs both afternoons
will range between 105-112 degrees. As the ridge retrogrades, rain
chances return to portions of our area. Friday evening, isolated
showers/storms may develop over SE NM. Saturday, a trough currently
over the northeastern US dives south, sending a cold front toward
our region. The front will have little effect on temperatures,
mainly just shaving off a few degrees from the previous days, but
lift from this feature brings additional rain chances into the
forecast. Rain chances remain low (10-20%) across the region between
Saturday and Sunday. Warmer and drier conditions return at the start
of next week. Overnight lows largely cool into the 70s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

VFR conditions and light southeast winds continue the next 24
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75 100  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 74 101  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   76  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            74  99  73  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           69  94  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    71 100  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    65  97  64  96 /   0   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     74  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   74  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     74 100  74 101 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Chinati
     Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Eastern Culberson-
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains-Loving-Reeves County Plains-Ward.

     Heat Advisory from 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
     Wednesday for Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis
     Mountains-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
     Delaware Mountains.

NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Eddy County Plains-
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...10