573
FXUS64 KMAF 212306
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
506 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 505 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

 - Above normal temperatures return this weekend.

 - Cold fronts Monday and late Wednesday drop temperatures closer
   to normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 157 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Temperatures are warming up this afternoon, with values already
around 5 to 10 degrees above yesterday`s highs. Upper level
ridging is becoming more pronounced over southwestern CONUS. This
along with clear skies and plenty of sunshine have helped increase
temperatures for today. Temperatures tonight will likely be a few
degrees warmer than what we saw this morning, due to an increase
in cloud cover, which will help limit radiational cooling
slightly. However, it will still be chilly overnight, especially
for the lower elevations of southeast New Mexico which will be
near or below freezing. Light winds and dry conditions are
expected for the short term.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 157 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Weak ridging over the area will continue through this weekend,
before winds aloft become more zonal Sunday into the middle of next
week. Winds near the surface will start to increase Friday afternoon
from the south, eventually increasing to around 10 to 15 mph from
the west/southwest for much of the area Sunday. With the increasing
warm air advection and ridging, temperatures will warm through the
end of this week, eventually reaching into the mid 70s to mid 80s by
Sunday. Two cold front are expected in the long term. The first will
likely move through on Monday. Temperatures Monday afternoon are
forecast to drop around 10 degrees compared to Sunday for the
northern 2/3rds of the area. Temperatures will start to warm back up
on Wednesday as winds switch back to the west/southwest. The second
cold front is expected late Wednesday into early Thursday. Right
now, rain chances remain low for the extended.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 505 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR will prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               38  71  43  75 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 35  69  35  76 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   44  73  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            42  75  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           42  65  45  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    37  68  37  73 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    39  73  42  76 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     39  70  44  74 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   40  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     37  71  38  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...29