344
FXUS64 KMAF 050717
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
217 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

- Temperatures remain above normal, but very gradually decrease
  weekend into next week.

- Isolated to scattered (10-40% chance) showers/storms are
  possible each day, mainly west of the Pecos.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

Temperatures decrease a couple of degrees today following two
consecutive days of record setting heat at MAF. Upper ridging over
West Texas and eastern New Mexico weakens and becomes centered
farther north, decreasing subsidence and allowing temperatures to
decrease closer to normal. Highs today approach or slightly exceed
100 degrees everywhere except the higher elevations, then
decrease closer to the mid 90s on Sunday. Rain chances will be
greatest in and around the Davis and Guadalupe mountains and
adjacent plains though a few showers may reach the Permian Basin.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

Temperatures remain stagnant next week with high pressure to our
north advecting in cooler air from the gulf. Temps will remain
above normal but highs in the mid 90s should feel a little better
than highs in the low 100s. Rain chances remain low in the basin
but should be higher west of the Pecos River where the mountains
will enhance lift. Uncertainty remains late next week due models
having difficulty resolving tropical systems in the eastern
Pacific and the high pressure to our north.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

VFR conditions and light southeast winds continue the next 24
hours. TS will redevelop after 18Z but chances of affecting TAF
sites is too low to mention in the TAFs at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              100  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                100  73  97  72 /  20  20   0   0
Dryden                   99  74  97  74 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            98  72  95  71 /  10  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           89  69  88  68 /  30  20   0   0
Hobbs                    98  70  96  70 /  20  20   0   0
Marfa                    90  61  88  60 /  60  20  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     99  73  96  74 /  10  10   0   0
Odessa                   99  74  96  74 /  10  10   0   0
Wink                    101  74  97  74 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10