685
FXUS64 KMAF 021921
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
121 PM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 105 PM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

- Breezy conditions expected again today, high winds in the
  Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains this afternoon and evening.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures prevail through at least the
  early to middle part of next week, despite a few cold fronts.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday night)
Issued at 105 PM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

An upper level trough is quickly moving across New Mexico and into
West Texas this afternoon. This is causing breezy conditions
across the CWA with some gusts reaching 30-40mph. Winds should
stay just below advisory criteria but it may be windy enough that
blowing dust could reduce visibilities to 3 to 5 miles at times.

A weak cold front moves through tonight in the wake of the passing
upper trough bringing slightly cooler temps for Saturday. Highs
will be about 5 degrees cooler reaching the upper 60s to lower
70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 105 PM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

This forecast continues to feature zonal flow which has been
dominant this fall and winter season so far. Westerly flow keeps
temperatures above normal next week as most locations see highs in
the 70s and lows in the 40s. Models are indicating that late next
week another upper trough could move across the area bringing a
slight chance for rainfall as well as dropping temperatures back
closer to normal.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1121 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

VFR prevails at all sites. Breezy conditions are underway across the
area. Westerly winds between 15-25 kts, with gusts up to 35 kts, are
expected to persist at all terminals through the remainder of the
afternoon. Winds diminish throughout the evening and overnight
hours. By early tomorrow morning, winds begin shifting northwesterly
then northerly as a weak front approaches the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               42  69  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 40  66  38  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   49  76  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            46  71  44  79 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           41  61  43  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    41  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    34  68  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     44  68  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   44  68  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     41  68  39  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...13