352
FXUS64 KMAF 070537
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1237 AM CDT Wed May 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1236 AM CDT Wed May 7 2025

- Cool mornings and mild afternoons expected into the weekend.

- A few showers and storms develop along and south of I-10
  Wednesday night into Thursday.

- The heat is on next week with 90s/100s back in the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025

For the first time in what feels like a very long while, we have a
pretty quiet (and pleasant) forecast in store! The system that
caused all our severe weather the past couple of days passes north
of the area tonight and slowly meanders off to the east. We will
remain on the backside of the system through the short-term period,
and therefore maintain northwesterly to northerly winds tonight
through tomorrow night. This helps us maintain temperatures right
around or just below seasonal averages. Normal highs/lows for this
time of year are low-to-mid 80s/upper 50s, but most locations will
top-out in the upper 70s/low 80s and bottom-out in the upper 40s/low
50s (coolest temperatures in our northernmost counties). By
Wednesday night, the upper-level low to our east will help push
another shortwave down towards the southern portions of the area,
bringing some low rain/storm chances (10-30%) back to the Big Bend,
Presidio Valley, and Lower Trans-Pecos regions Thursday morning.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025

With the upper trough slowly moving east over the Ozarks late this
week our area will remain in north to northwesterly flow aloft.
This regime will keep below normal temperatures in place with
highs in the 70s/80s and lows in the 40s/50s. Models even show a
disturbance or two rotating around the storm system which could
bring some precipitation to areas along and south of I-10
Wednesday night into Thursday. This would be most welcome as these
locations missed out on the rain the last few days. No severe
weather is anticipated with any of this convection.

This pattern lasts into the weekend before ridging builds in from
the west and temperatures warm back above normal. By the early to
middle part of next week we could be looking at temperatures well
into the 90s and even some 100s. Summer isn`t too far around the
corner. Precipitation chances look slim to none through the
extended.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed May 7 2025

VFR conditions will remain prevalent through Wednesday evening.
Winds will become northerly overnight into Wednesday behind a weak
cold front moving into the area. Winds gradually become northeasterly
to easterly by Wednesday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               78  54  77  54 /   0  10  10   0
Carlsbad                 74  52  76  53 /  10  10  20   0
Dryden                   87  62  81  58 /  10  20  50  30
Fort Stockton            81  57  74  55 /   0  10  50  10
Guadalupe Pass           70  52  69  52 /  10  10  30   0
Hobbs                    73  49  74  51 /   0  10  10   0
Marfa                    78  52  72  49 /   0  10  60  10
Midland Intl Airport     78  55  75  55 /   0  10  20  10
Odessa                   78  55  74  55 /   0  10  20  10
Wink                     80  56  77  55 /   0  10  30  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...21