Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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907
FNUS74 KLZK 111653
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Jacob Box Prescribed Burn...AGFC
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1153 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

There will be a slight increase in moisture across the area on Wednesday
ahead of an approaching storm system. This will lead to afternoon
minimum RH values only falling below 50 percent. Winds out of the south
could be gusty at times through the day Wednesday. Rain chances increase
Wednesday night.

.WEDNESDAY...

Max temperature.....60 at ignition...Max 76.
Min humidity........78 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South around 21 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Dispersion..........43.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....74.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3229 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3100 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  64  68  72  73  75  76  75
RH..............78  67  61  53  51  48  46  48
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.16  16  17  17  18  18  18  18
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  21  21  21  21  21  21  21
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 59.
Max humidity........Max 96 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............4.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms through the night.
Dispersion..........36 decreasing to 13 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Rainfall amount.....0.25 inches.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2029 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1900 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....    LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............73  72  69  68  66  65  64  63  62  62  61  60
RH..............53  55  61  65  70  73  78  81  84  84  87  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.17  16  16  16  16  14  14  14  14  13  13  12
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  20  18  17  15  14  14  13  13  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   60  60  60  60  60  60  50  50  50  50  50

.THURSDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 79.
Min humidity........Min 43 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Dispersion..........12 increasing to 26 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....77.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4582 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
Temp............60  59  61  63  66  69  72  74  76  78  78  77
RH..............93  96  93  87  78  68  59  53  48  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.12  11  10  10  10  8   8   7   7   7   7   6
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   10  12  10  9   8   8   9   10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).50  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Clayton Whitaker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505904.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clayton.whitaker@agfc.ar.gov