Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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FNUS74 KLZK 020836
FWSLZK
Spot Forecast for PCS Shadley...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
236 AM CST Mon Mar 2 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on March 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (501) 834-3955 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
There will be some rain chances this morning with a stationary
front in the area. These chances for rain will decrease late this
morning; however, there may be some chances for rain returning by
mid-afternoon. Wind direction may vary today depending on where
the front shifts through this afternoon. By tonight into
Tuesday...this front will lift north...and southerly winds will
become dominant.
.REST OF TODAY...
Max temperature.....57 at ignition...Max 69.
Min humidity........80 percent at ignition...Min 59 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Dispersion..........12.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....66.
Category Day........2.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............57 59 61 63 65 67 67 68 67
RH..............80 75 70 65 63 59 61 59 59
20 FT wind dir..S SW SW W W W W SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.8 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8
MixHgtAGL (kft).1.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.0 4.2 3.3 1.9
MixHgtMSL (kft).1.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.0 4.2 3.3 1.9
Transp wind dir.W W SW SW SW S S S SE
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20
.TONIGHT...
Min temperature.....Min 57.
Max humidity........Max 86 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Dispersion..........6.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66 64 63 62 61 61 60 59 59 59 58 57
RH..............65 65 67 70 72 72 75 78 78 78 83 86
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.8 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 13 14
MixHgtAGL (kft).0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
MixHgtMSL (kft).0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 10 9 9
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 10 0 10 10 10 10
.TUESDAY...
Max temperature.....Max 77.
Min humidity........Min 47 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............3 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Dispersion..........29 increasing to 67.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....67.
Category Day........4.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58 58 60 64 67 70 72 74 76 77 76 75
RH..............83 83 81 75 70 63 59 53 50 47 48 50
20 FT wind dir..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.14 16 18 19 20 20 20 20 19 18 18 18
MixHgtAGL (kft).0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.5
MixHgtMSL (kft).0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 13 16 20 22 24 25 25 25 24 22 21
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
$$
Forecaster...C Bentley
Requested by...Loyd Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604443.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL loyd.moore@usda.gov