Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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592
FNUS74 KLZK 230158
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PCS Harvey...USDA
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
758 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light winds and higher relative humidity values over the next week
will result in low fire weather concerns. High pressure and warmer
temperatures are expected to move into the area with temperatures
near 70 degrees by Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds will pick up
slightly Thursday as a cold front moves through the area shifting
winds to the NW.

.SUNDAY...

Min temperature.....44 at ignition...Min 33.
Max humidity........55 percent at ignition...Max 92 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph increasing to 6 to 7 mph.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............5.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming sunny (0-10
                    percent) then becoming sunny (5-15 percent)
                    then becoming mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........11 decreasing to 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....55 in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4322 ft MSL decreasing to becoming
                    1259 ft MSL.
Category Day........1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3500 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  49  53  56  56  58  56  55  52  46  42  41  39  38  37  36  36  35  35  35
RH..............55  46  41  38  38  37  42  45  54  65  73  76  79  82  85  89  85  89  89  89
20 FT wind dir..N   SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 66.
Min humidity........Min 46 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............5 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........7 increasing to 31.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....63.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4622 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3800 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............34  37  39  44  49  55  61  62  63  65  62  60
RH..............92  89  89  79  71  59  51  50  50  46  52  55
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   10  10  10  11  11  10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  9
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 40.
Max humidity........Max 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 1287 ft MSL.
Category Day........1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 500 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  54  51  49  48  46  45  44  43  42  41  41
RH..............60  69  74  80  83  89  93  93  96  96  100 96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.10  8   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   9   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 72.
Min humidity........Min 44 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south late in
                    the afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........10 increasing to 19 in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....70.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4958 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4100 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  43  46  50  55  60  66  68  69  71  68  66
RH..............100 96  89  83  72  64  54  51  47  44  49  54
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...L Pyle
Requested by...Eric Stuart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503517.0/LZK
.DELDT 02/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.stuart@usda.gov