624
FNUS74 KLZK 211305
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Roth Prairie East...Arkansas Natural Heritage Commission
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
705 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front across northern AR will continue to move south across the area
and lead to increasing NW winds. Dry air and clear skies are expected.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....40 at ignition...Max 60.
Min humidity........60 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 26 mph increasing to 21 to 28
                    mph late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....5.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........29 increasing to 70.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....58.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4430 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4200 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  43  50  57  58  58  58  60  58  55
RH..............60  55  47  33  33  33  33  32  34  40
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..05  08  12  13  13  12  12  12  12  8
20 FT wind gust.09  10  18  19  18  19  18  18  16  12
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  24  26  28  28  28  26  24  21  17
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 35.
Max humidity........Max 82 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........8.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Category Day........1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  47  45  43  43  41  40  39  38  37  37  37
RH..............46  58  63  70  67  70  70  73  73  75  75  72
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  14  14  15  15  15  15  14  13  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Brian Mitchell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427146.0/LZK
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.mitchell@arkansas.gov