523
FNUS74 KLZK 232342
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Meadowbrook Trail Prescribed Burn...Arkansas State Parks
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
542 PM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on November 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure should be settling into the region from the north on
Tuesday. This will promote dry weather through about early
afternoon on Wednesday. By Wednesday evening into overnight
period, showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to build
into the region from the Southern Plains ahead of a cold front.

.TUESDAY...

Max temperature.....42 at ignition...Max 55.
Min humidity........62 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Dispersion..........19.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....48.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2890 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2600 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  44  47  50  52  54  54  53  52
RH..............62  56  50  46  43  42  43  45  48
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   8   10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   9   10  10  10  9
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 41.
Max humidity........Max 80 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Dispersion..........5 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the evening.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 929 ft MSL.
Category Day........1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 600 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  49  47  46  45  45  45  44  44  43  42  42
RH..............52  56  59  63  64  65  65  67  68  70  72  74
20 FT wind dir..E   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind spd..3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind gust.10  8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.WEDNESDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 59.
Min humidity........Min 69 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the east around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....MISSING.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Dispersion..........MISSING.
Haines Index........MISSING.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).MISSING.
Category Day........MG1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2600 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  42  43  45  48  51  54  56  57  57  57  57
RH..............76  78  80  79  76  72  69  69  70  72  73  75
20 FT wind dir..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind spd..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   10  10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  10  8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...T Jones
Requested by...Jonathan Willard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427241.0/LZK
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.giles@arkansas.gov,jonathan.willard@arkansas.gov,will.strain@arkansas.gov