Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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117 FXUS64 KLZK 110441 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1141 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1239 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 -Hot conditions will be the primary story for the next week or so as an upper level ridge expands over the region -Little to no chances for precipitation expected for next week -Heat headlines in place today for many areas...which may be extended into the next several days and maybe expanded to include more of the state && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1239 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 Not much good news to pass around over the next week or so for those who don`t like hot weather as the next week looks to become dry and very hot. Initially...flow aloft will keep the relatively less hot conditions in place for the next day or so...with weakness in the upper flow overhead keeping temps from warming too far. Even so...will likely see temps in the 90s to around 100 for highs today...and heat index values over 100 for most areas. A good portion of the AR River Valley, and areas across the ERN and NRN CWA will see heat index values exceed 105 today. Have a Heat Adv in place as a result. Upper level ridging will continue expanding over the region by the middle part of the week...with the center of the near 600dm 500 mb ridge nearly directly above the state by the weekend. This will keep POPs nearly zero...but more importantly...allow temps to warm into the upper 90s to well over 100 deg for most areas. In fact...many areas may see several days with temps the warmest so far this year. The only slight good news is that without any addition precip and with SWRLY SFC winds each afternoon...dewpts may actually drop some each day. Even so...heat index values will likely remain at or above Heat Adv levels...with some areas maybe needing Extreme Heat Warning headlines at some point. With drying conditions possible each afternoon as dewpts mix out...this may increase the overall wildfire threat at temps sore well above normal. This will also need to be watched in the next week or so...with areas that saw the locally heavy rainfall recently being the exception. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 77 99 78 101 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 75 96 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 76 98 78 98 / 0 0 0 10 Hot Springs AR 75 97 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 78 99 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 77 98 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 74 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 75 99 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 77 98 78 101 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 76 98 78 98 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 76 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 76 99 78 102 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 77 98 79 101 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ004>008- 015>017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-055>057-063>065-069-103-113- 121>123-130-137-138-203-212-213-230-238. && $$ DISCUSSION...62 AVIATION...62