996
FXUS64 KLZK 112324
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
624 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

-Drier conditions expected for much of the upcoming work week.

-Dry cold front will move across the state around the middle of
 the week.

-Well above normal temperatures likely by late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Satellite and radar late this evening shows scattered showers across
the northern half of the state. Skies were clear over parts of
northwest Arkansas with cloudy skies elsewhere with temperatures in
the 50s in far northern Arkansas and 60s elsewhere. The remaining
shower activity within the state is expected to move east and
decrease in coverage before ending around sunrise.

As we head into Monday, northwest flow aloft will remain in control
over the state through at least the middle of the week. A warming
trend will commence as temperatures will warm to well above
normal values by the end of the work week into next weekend. A dry
cold front will drop out of the central Plains on Wednesday but
other than a wind shift will not bring any other sensible weather
changes.

By Thursday, the upper trough over the Great Lakes region will
move toward the eastern seaboard. At the same time, a shortwave
over the Great Basin will trek across the Rockies into the
northern Plains by Thursday night. A short wave ridge will move
in behind the departing upper trough over the eastern US on
Thursday afternoon.

By Thursday night, short wave over the northern plains will drag a
cold front into the state Friday into Saturday bringing shower and
thunderstorm chances to the state. As we head into a Sunday, a short
wave trough that will dive south out of British Columbia will trek
along the International border as upper troughing deepens across the
western US Saturday into Sunday. This will allow southwest flow to
set up over the state with multiple disturbances move across the
state bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms through the
rest of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

VFR conditions expected to persist through the period. Winds will
generally be NE through this evening up to 10 kts. After sunset
winds will be light/variable. Sfc winds Tuesday will vary from S
to E in direction at less than 10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     52  80  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         51  82  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       53  81  60  81 /   0   0  20   0
Hot Springs AR    52  81  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  52  80  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     53  81  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      50  80  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  51  82  59  81 /   0   0  20   0
Newport AR        54  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     51  81  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   52  82  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         50  80  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      53  80  57  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...77