467
FXUS64 KLZK 011729 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1229 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025

-Friday through through Monday will feature temperatures below
 climatological averages in the wake of a frontal passage.

-Slow warming trend will ensue Tuesday and beyond as temperatures
 return to or perhaps slightly above climatological averages.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms were ongoing across the
region associated with the approach/passage of a cold front. This
activity should dwindle from NE to SW through the day on Friday.
A substantial cool down will be felt in the wake of the boundary
as early as today and linger through at least Monday. By mid
week, a slow warming trend will ensue on the heels of return flow
near the surface. Heat headlines should not be needed through the
period as conditions will feel quite comfortable for this time of
year.

Synoptically, an elongated upper ridge was located over the Four
Corners region with broad NW flow in place across much of the Ern
half of the CONUS. This pattern is not expected to change much over
the coming days however the ridge will amplify with NW flow becoming
more meridional over the region. Late in the period the upper ridge
will shift Ewrd, becoming centered over the Srn Plains.

Temperatures today through Sunday should top out in the upper 70s to
upper 80s after starting out in the upper 50s to near 70 degrees
Friday and Saturday nights. Monday through Thursday should
feature a slow warming trend with highs climbing into the mid 80s
to lower 90s and lows starting off in the 60s and 70s. Apparent
T`s should remain near or below 100 degrees through the entirety
of the forecast period. Low end rains are possible on Monday and
Tuesday, mainly confined to the afternoon hours. Enjoy the next
four days of nicer weather!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025

Some MVFR cigs persist across the area early this afternoon, but
areawide VFR conditions should be seen by later today. Some
scattered RA/TS activity will be possible through tonight, with
the best chances across western AR. Otherwise, VFR conditions
expected through the end of the period with sfc winds generally
out of the NE at less than 10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     65  84  62  85 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         69  87  64  89 /  20  20   0   0
Harrison AR       62  81  59  82 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    68  88  65  89 /  20  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  69  86  65  88 /  10  10   0   0
Monticello AR     71  89  67  90 /  10  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      68  86  64  88 /  20  10   0   0
Mountain Home AR  62  81  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        65  84  62  85 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     69  87  64  88 /  10  10   0   0
Russellville AR   68  88  64  88 /  10  10   0   0
Searcy AR         67  86  63  87 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      68  86  64  87 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...67