001
FXUS64 KLZK 171743
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1243 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

-Hazardous heat and humidity will persist through the remainder of
the work week, with daily heat headlines likely.

-More widespread rain chances appear possible across the state
through the weekend, though any cooldown will be brief.

-Above-normal temperatures and hazardous heat will persist into
 next week, with triple digit heat possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Another hot and sultry aftn is in store for the Natural State
today, w/ high temps set to climb to the upper 90s, and some
locations flirting with near triple digit heat, particularly acrs
Srn AR. Hot and humid condns wl cont to headline the fcst, w/ some
ocsnl chcs for rain chcs mixed in over the next seven days,
including low-end rain chcs acrs Nrn AR again later this aftn to
evng, invof a stalled frnt over the Ozark Plateau, but most precip
wl lkly manifest as isolated showers and storms, w/ a lucky few
receiving cooling rainfall/outflow.

Thru the weekend, more widespread PoPs remain possible as Gulf
moisture fm a weak tropical system moves acrs the Gulf Coast.
Uncertainties remain for now regarding the extent of precip covg,
and magnitude of rainfall. Any potential relief fm weekend rainfall
wl be short-lived though, w/ above-normal heat resuming by early
next week. Swrly sfc winds acrs the Srn Cntrl US and H500 high
pressure bcmg centered over the FA wl contribute to area temps
climbing to the century mark over portions of the FA thru at least
the first half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Afternoon cumulus field has developed across the FA and will
persist through sunset before dissipating. Isolated convection
will be possible across the northern terminals which will also
dissipate after sunset. Winds will be generally light and
variable as level high pressure dominates. Conditions are
expected to be mainly VFR but brief MVFR condition will be
possible around sunrise.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     96  75  94  75 /  20  10  20  10
Camden AR         99  76  96  74 /   0   0  30  10
Harrison AR       89  73  91  73 /  40  20  20   0
Hot Springs AR    98  77  98  75 /  10   0  30   0
Little Rock   AR  98  78  96  77 /  10   0  20   0
Monticello AR     98  77  94  76 /  10   0  30  10
Mount Ida AR      96  75  96  75 /  10   0  20   0
Mountain Home AR  91  73  91  74 /  30  20  30  10
Newport AR        97  76  95  76 /  20  10  30  10
Pine Bluff AR     97  77  95  76 /  10   0  20   0
Russellville AR   97  76  97  76 /  10   0  20   0
Searcy AR         97  76  95  75 /  10   0  20   0
Stuttgart AR      96  78  94  76 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ006-014-015-
024-052-053-062>069-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-221>223-230-237-
238-240-241-340-341.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>033-039-042>046-052>056-062>064-066>069-121>123-130-
137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ007-008-
016-017-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ034-047-
057-065.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...56