201
FXUS64 KLZK 132246
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
546 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 210 AM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

-Hot conditions will be the primary story through the weekend and
 into early next week.

-Additional heat headlines are highly likely into early next week
 if ensemble and deterministic model trends continue.

-Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 AM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern
through the rest of this week and into the weekend. While some
low-end rain chances are possible underneath the ridge, it is not
all that likely as the ridge centers itself over the state.

With this pattern change, dangerously hot temperatures are
expected through the weekend as temperatures soar to above
average. Many locations will likely see temperatures rise to near
100 degrees or just above with heat index values slightly
higher. An extreme heat warning and heat advisories are in effect
through Sunday.

Remember that if need to be outside for any reason, make sure to
take plenty of breaks and find shade to rest in. Also be sure to
drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 546 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire period of Thursday evening
through Friday evening. TEMPO groups across most sites for the first
few hours to capture occasional surface wind gusts. At the sites of
KHRO, KHOT, and KADF low level wind shear will be present early
Friday morning over a small window prior to sunrise. Most terminals
will experience a brief period of surface wind gusts in excess of 18
knots on Friday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     79 103  78 104 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         76  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       77  99  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    77 100  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  80 102  78 103 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     78 100  77 100 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      75  98  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  76  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        79 102  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     77 100  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   78 103  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         78 102  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      79 102  77 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ004-005-014-024-031-
039-042-043-052>056-062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-
141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-032>034-044>047-057.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74