534
FXUS64 KLZK 222341
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
641 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Fairly quiet conditions ongoing across the Natural State early this
Fri morning in wake of the front that pushed into the region on Thu.
Light NERLY winds were noted...keeping relatively lower moisture
levels in place. Flow aloft will continue from the NE over the
region...with SFC high pressure to the NE of the state. This will
keep mainly dry conditions in place as light NERLY winds are
expected to continue into the weekend. While NERLY winds and
relatively drier air will remain...temps will still warm to near or
above normal today and into Sat.

By late Sat into early Sun...flow aloft will transition back to a
more NWRLY direction over the region as an upper shortwave drops SE
over the region. A new cold front will then drop south towards
AR...moving south through the state by late this weekend. By late
this weekend into early next week...this front looks to slow or
stall over some portion of the region...potentially SW of AR. Flow
aloft will remain from the NW during much of next week...parallel to
the SFC boundary. Upper waves will move over the region in this NW
flow aloft...with some increased rain chances returning to the
forecast starting late Mon. These increased rain chances look to
continue for much of next week for at least some portion of the
state.

While the front may slow or stall in vicinity of the state...or just
S/SW of AR...the placement of best chances for rainfall may be
uncertain depending on where the boundary ends up. NRLY SFC flow
will bring in cooler and drier air to the region in wake of the
front...which may also cause some uncertainty in rain potential. In
any case...below normal conditions are expected for much of next
week either due to the post frontal air...or rain potential.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

VFR conds are expected through the TAF period. Tonight, winds
will be light and variable, then N/NErly at around 10 kts on Sat.
Overnight SKC should transition to partly cloudy by Sat afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     65  93  67  91 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         67  94  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       65  90  64  87 /   0  10  10   0
Hot Springs AR    69  96  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  68  93  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     68  95  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      67  94  69  93 /   0   0   0  10
Mountain Home AR  65  91  65  88 /   0  10   0   0
Newport AR        65  91  69  90 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     66  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   69  97  71  96 /   0  10   0   0
Searcy AR         65  93  68  93 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      66  93  69  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70