813
FXUS64 KLZK 192314 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
614 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

-Another day of dangerous heat before temperatures cool off
 Wednesday into Thursday.

-A few strong to severe storms possible today, mainly across the
 north.

-Some beneficial rainfall is possible across parts of the state
 through Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Another day of high temperatures topping out around 100 F across
the state and heat indices climbing into the 100-115 range. This
will be influenced by the H500 ridge over the state, but in the
coming days the ridge is expected to slide west and become
centered over the Four Corners. This will provide N/NW flow across
much of the central and southern US into next week.

While temperatures will warm significantly today, some locations
could begin to see relief as early as this afternoon. A few
disturbances riding around the eastern periphery of the mid-level
ridge will move south across the region. Additionally, at the sfc
a cold front will progress toward the state as well. These
features will help promote precip development from this afternoon
through Thursday before the front makes it south of the state.

Will have to watch for a few strong/severe thunderstorms this
afternoon, mainly across northern Arkansas. Similar conditions as
previous days but coverage is expected to be a bit more widespread
today. Main severe concerns will be damaging wind gusts
associated with potential wet microbursts. Some locally heavy
downpours are possible as well.

Increased coverage in precip and cloud cover will aid in cooling
temperatures by Wednesday and especially into Thursday. Some
spots could see some appreciable rainfall that will aid in short
term rainfall deficits, but many will miss out. Another front is
set to move across the state later this weekend, which is expected
to bring cooler air to the state early next week. It`s possible
that highs near the end of the period may only be in the 70s F
across northern AR with 80s F elsewhere, which would be a welcome
site for late August in Arkansas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Area SH/TSRA cont around the periphery of the state, w/ most of
Cntrl AR in a cold pool wake. Asctd higher cloud cover wl lkly
linger over the FA thru the night, w/ periphery precip activity
persisting thru 02-03Z. Some patchy fog may be seen acrs the
region, particularly where the heaviest rainfall occurred Tues
aftn. Otherwise, VFR condns are expected to prevail thru much of
the PD, w/ additional aftn precip lkly on Wed aftn.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     72  93  70  91 /  50  40  10   0
Camden AR         73  96  72  93 /  20  50  20  20
Harrison AR       71  91  67  88 /  40  20   0  10
Hot Springs AR    74  97  73  94 /  40  50  20  10
Little Rock   AR  75  95  73  92 /  40  40  10  10
Monticello AR     75  97  73  94 /  20  50  20  20
Mount Ida AR      72  95  72  93 /  30  40  20  10
Mountain Home AR  71  92  68  89 /  40  30   0   0
Newport AR        74  93  70  90 /  50  40   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     74  96  72  93 /  30  50  10  10
Russellville AR   74  97  73  95 /  40  40  10  10
Searcy AR         73  95  70  92 /  50  40  10   0
Stuttgart AR      75  96  72  92 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>006-014-015-
024-052-053-066-103-113-123-137-140-141-212-213-221>223-237-240-
241-313-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-
016-017-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-062>065-067>069-121-122-
130-138-230-238.

Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Wednesday for ARZ031>034-039-
042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-
240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...72