800
FXUS64 KLZK 220534
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1234 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

-A slight cooling of high temperatures from extreme values are
 expected statewide over the next several days.

-POP chances will be present over the next few days for portions
 of Arkansas, but any rain or storms that materialize will be
 isolated and not amount to much total rainfall.

-Heat safety must still be practiced as temperatures remain across
 most of the state above average for this time of the year.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Currently, as of 2 AM CDT, a stationary boundary remains draped
along the I-40 corridor across central Arkansas. This boundary is
expected to gradually track southward as a weak cold front into
southern Arkansas today.

In response, high temperatures across much of the state will
experience a very limited form of relief. Instead of widespread 100F
to 105F or greater temperatures across a large part of the state,
many locations across Arkansas may only reach the upper 90s,
possibly ending several streaks statewide of multiple 100 degree or
higher days on Friday.

This trend is expected to continue over the next several days as
high temperatures will still peak well above normal for this time of
the year across most of the state, but may struggle to reach 100
degrees in many locations.

The trend is the result of northwesterly flow aloft over Arkansas as
the upper lvl ridge is expected to remain cemented over the Four
Corners region of the CONUS. In response, a series of frontal
boundaries are expected to move through the state which will
introduce limited increases in chances for POPs, increased cloud
cover, and a slight reduction in temperatures overall.

A continued pattern of hot and dry conditions are expected to
continue overall across the state, but oppressive temperatures, in
the the form of extreme high air temperatures are not expected to be
near the values experience over the last several days.
Unfortunately, heat index values will remain between 105 and 109
degrees across most of central and southern Arkansas prompting the
continuation of the Heat Advisory for today.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the majority of the forecast period
between early Saturday morning and early Sunday morning across all
sites. However, beginning early Saturday afternoon -TSRA will begin
to impact most sites for the remainder of the forecast period. The
threat of -TSRA has been captured by TEMPO groups at each terminal.
Expect if a site is impacted directly by -TSRA, then VSBY may drop
to as low as MVFR or briefly IFR flight category. Surface wind gusts
may reach in excess of 35 knots in the strongest of storms. Timing
will likely be better captured at the 12Z issuance of the TAF
forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     99  71  95  70 /  60  20  10  50
Camden AR         99  71  98  73 /  10  30  10  40
Harrison AR       93  68  90  69 /  40  20  10  60
Hot Springs AR    99  72  97  73 /  30  20  10  50
Little Rock   AR  99  74  97  74 /  50  30  10  50
Monticello AR     99  73  98  75 /  20  30  20  40
Mount Ida AR      97  70  96  71 /  30  20  10  50
Mountain Home AR  94  68  91  69 /  40  20   0  50
Newport AR        97  71  94  72 /  50  30   0  40
Pine Bluff AR     98  71  96  72 /  30  20  10  50
Russellville AR   98  72  95  72 /  30  20  10  60
Searcy AR         98  71  95  71 /  60  20  10  50
Stuttgart AR      98  73  96  73 /  50  30  10  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
for ARZ052-053-062>069.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74