285
FXUS64 KLZK 110711
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
211 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

-Pleasant fall-like conditions are expected to persist through the
 weekend.

-Seasonably warm temperatures will return to the forecast area by
 the new work week, with dry, settled, and warm conditions
 prevailing.

-Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear
 possible across the region by late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Thru this weekend, pleasantly cool "fall-like" mrngs are expected
acrs the FA, w/ seasonably warm afternoon temperatures prevailing.
Mean H500 ridging is expected to persist acrs the Cntrl US thru
much of next week, which wl support daily temps trending upwards
and staying seasonably warm, w/ no appreciable rain chances thru
the fcst PD.

Of note towards the end of next week, long-term deterministic and
ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are beginning to advertise a
pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances for much of the
Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for hazardous wx potential,
but for now, uncertainties and variability remain too large for
any concrete details.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

No sig changes to advertise in the new TAF PD... Recent IR sat
imgry depicted mid-lvl cloud cover moving acrs Nrn AR towards
Cntrl AR. Thru Sat mrng, expect low-end VFR CIGs at Nrn to Cntrl
terminals, w/ some patchy FG wl be possible acrs Nrn sites b/w
11/10Z to 11/14Z, but expect VFR condns to prevail otherwise thru
the PD. Winds wl stay light and variable acrs the FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     82  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         85  57  85  55 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       80  57  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    84  58  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  82  58  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     84  57  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      85  57  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  81  56  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        81  55  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     83  56  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   85  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         83  55  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...72