028
FXUS64 KLZK 311006
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
406 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 405 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Added a few more counties in central Arkansas to the Dense
Fog Advisory as fog slowly advances east early this morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 238 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Areas of dense fog will be noted this morning, mainly
from west central into central Arkansas. A Dense Fog
Advisory has been posted in this part of the state.

Otherwise, the potent storm system aloft responsible for
heavy rain on Thursday will exit the region to the east
today. Moisture wrapping around the system will result in
clouds over the Ozark Mountains. Elsewhere, mostly sunny/partly
cloudy conditions are expected, and there will be a breezy west
to southwest wind.

High pressure will build over the area tonight. The wind will
mostly subside, with clouds over the north/east, and a clear
to partly sky in the south/west.

On Saturday, the high will depart, and a warm front will slide
by to the north late in the day. As the front passes, clouds in
the north/east will gradually dissipate. There will be a
quasizonal flow aloft which will bring mild Pacific air into
Arkansas.

Overall, above average temperatures are in the forecast
during the near term.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

No major changes to advertise to the long term fcst as we turnover
into Feb. Benign condns look to persist over the FA thru at least
mid-week next week as upper lvl flow wl remain largely zonal.
Persistent lee sfc cyclonic flow wl be noted acrs the OK/TX
panhandle, coinciding w/ sfc ridging extending over the Srn Cntrl US
and Mid-South. This should keep Srly to S/Wrly sfc flow in place
over the FA and generally warmer than nrml condns at most area
locations thru much of the PD.

Long range guidance continues to advertise another synoptic cdfrnt
moving thru the Nrn Plains and apprchg the Srn Cntrl Plains late
next week. The latest deterministic trends suggest a greater
variability on timing, w/ a wider window b/w next Thurs night to as
late as next Sat. Nevertheless, incrsg PoPs are still included in
the fcst for late next week asctd w/ this next synoptic frnt, though
greater fcst certainty wl be needed before finer details can be
provided.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1134 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Low clouds/areas of dense fog will be noted this morning from
west central into central Arkansas. This will result in MVFR/IFR
conditions. Elsewhere, mainly VFR conditions will continue, with
patchy fog/low clouds/MVFR conditions in places. Later this
morning and into the afternoon, VFR conditions will return to most
of the state along with a breezy west to southwest wind. Some low
clouds/MVFR conditions are in the forecast across the north.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     63  41  56  42 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         64  38  64  41 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       54  38  58  44 /  10   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    61  38  60  42 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  63  41  59  42 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     66  41  63  44 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      61  36  62  43 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  57  39  56  42 /  10   0   0   0
Newport AR        61  43  54  43 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     64  41  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   60  37  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         63  40  57  39 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      62  43  58  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for ARZ031-032-
039-042>044-052>055-062-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-
240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46
LONG TERM....72
AVIATION...46