137
FXUS64 KLZK 231121
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
521 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

All quiet conditions are ongoing across the state early this Sun
morning...with temps mainly in the 20s and 30s. South and SW of
AR...some scattered rain is ongoing ahead of an upper shortwave to
the SW over TX. This upper shortwave will move east just south of AR
through this afternoon/early evening. Most areas will remain dry as
this shortwave passes south of AR...but far SRN sections could see
some light precip through this afternoon. Temps this morning may
start off near or just below freezing for a couple hrs to see some
potential for a rain/FZRA mix across the far south. Given the light
nature of the precip...little to no impacts are expected at this time
for the morning wintry mix.

The warming trend that started in the last couple days will continue
into the middle of this week as SRLY flow increases across the
state. Precip chances will remain low through Tue in the wake of
the departing upper shortwave...with NW flow aloft expected. Highs
today will be in the 50s for most areas...though some 40s will be
possible across SRN sections where cloud cover will be more
prevalent. Temps for Mon will warm into the 60s for highs...with
60s and 70s expected for Tue and Wed.

A new cold front will move SE through the state on Wed/Wed
night...with some increased chances for convection expected for
portions of the state. However...widespread significant rainfall is
looking less likely...with just some scattered SHRA expected.

Behind the front on Thu...temps will cool off slightly with a more
NRLY flow...but remain near or above normal in the 60s for highs.
SRLY flow will return by late in the forecast...with temps
rebounding once again in the 60s and 70s. A mainly dry forecast is
expected to wrap up the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

High pressure is expected to slide to the east as cloud cover move
in across mainly southern and central terminals. Showers will be
possible Sunday for mainly ADF/LLQ with VCSH possible for central
terminals. VFR conditions are expected through much of the period
with MVFR conditions possible where CIGs and VIS restrictions
persist due to showers.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     55  31  61  40 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         50  29  65  40 /  30   0   0   0
Harrison AR       55  34  62  42 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    55  31  63  40 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  54  32  63  42 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     49  34  64  44 /  30  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      58  32  66  41 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  55  29  62  38 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        51  29  58  39 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     52  31  63  42 /  10   0   0   0
Russellville AR   57  30  64  39 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         53  28  61  39 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      52  31  60  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...73