751
FXUS64 KLZK 251111
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
611 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 203 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

- Scattered thunderstorms Saturday morning could pose an isolated
  flash flooding risk for southeastern Arkansas.

- Hazardous heat set to return to the region by Sunday, with
  multiple 100 degree days possible through mid-week next week

- In addition to daytime heat next week, overnight lows may
  struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations

- Make sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks when outside

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

To begin the period, a weak disturbance is expected to slide
across the area this morning along a warm front situated over the
state. This disturbance could bring the chance for scattered
showers and thunderstorms Saturday morning. With that said,
models continue to show an area across southeastern Arkansas where
showers seemed most favored.

A has been issued for these locations and including areas in
central Arkansas where if these storms do fire off later this
morning some heavy rainfall could lead to isolated flash flooding.

As the upper level ridge builds back over the region, sinking air
over the state will diminish the chances for rain through the end
of this weekend and into early next week. Although, some
afternoon thunderstorm chances cannot be completely ruled out.

The biggest threat will be the dangerous temperatures and heat
index values. By Sunday and Monday it is possible many locations
across the state reach 100 degrees with heat index values much
hotter. Heat headlines will be likely Saturday across eastern
Arkansas and the River Valley. By Sunday and into early next week,
it is expected much of the state will see a mix of heat advisories
and extreme heat warnings.

An additional concern could be the lack of a recover period
overnight where we could see multiple nights later this weekend
and next week where locations struggle to get below 80 degrees. If
you plan to be outdoors for any reason this weekend and next week,
make sure you have shade to rest in, take multiple breaks, and
drink plenty of water.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

MVFR/VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. With
that said, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be
possible this morning into the early afternoon hours across
portions of central and southern Arkansas. IFR condition are
possible with CIG/VIS restrictions associated with TSRA. Overall
confidence is still low on overall coverage however.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     93  76  97  76 /  50  20  20   0
Camden AR         92  75  97  75 /  50   0  10   0
Harrison AR       93  76  98  76 /  20  20   0   0
Hot Springs AR    94  76  99  77 /  30  10  10   0
Little Rock   AR  93  78  98  78 /  50  20  10   0
Monticello AR     90  76  96  77 /  60  10  10   0
Mount Ida AR      92  76  97  77 /  30   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  92  75  97  75 /  30  20   0   0
Newport AR        93  76  97  76 /  60  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     91  75  96  75 /  70  10  10   0
Russellville AR   97  77 101  77 /  20  20   0   0
Searcy AR         93  76  97  75 /  60  30  10   0
Stuttgart AR      91  77  96  77 /  80  20  20   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening
for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-103-113-
121>123-130-137-138-203-212-213-230-237-238.

Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for ARZ043>047-055>057-
062>069.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73