Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
491 FXUS64 KLZK 092312 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 512 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 122 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 -Coldest air of the season expected tonight/Mon morning...resulting in most areas seeing sub-freezing conditions -Wind chills dropping into the lower teens tonight/Mon morning for some locations in the higher terrain of the Ozarks -Mainly dry conditions for the next several days -Warming conditions for the middle to latter half of the week...with temps back in the 60s and 70s for highs && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 122 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 The strong cold front has moved SE through the state as of early this Sun morning...with breezy NRLY winds noted behind this front. Very dry and colder air was filtering into the state with these breezy NRLY winds...with dewpts already dropping into the 30s and 40s behind the front. Temps were already in the 40s and 50s behind the front as well. After highs in the 60s...70s...and even some low 80s on Sat...highs this Sun afternoon will only manage to warm into the upper 30s to upper 40s across NWRN sections...and in the upper 40s to upper 50s further south. The coldest air of the season will settle across the state tonight into Mon morning. Lows will drop into the 20s for most areas...with some upper teens possible across NWRN sections. Wind chill values will also be notable...with wind chills dipping into the lower teens across NWRN sections...and in the 20s elsewhere. Highs on Mon will remain chilly in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Expect moderating temps starting Tue and especially by Wed as SRLY SFC flow returns as SFC high pressure shifts east. Highs by the middle to latter half of the week should warm back into the 60s and 70s. No significant rain chances are expected through Fri as deep moisture levels will remain limited. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 509 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 SKC conditions will prevail during the valid TAF period. A northwest surface flow of 9-15 kts will prevail after 15z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 25 44 25 60 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 27 48 26 61 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 22 41 26 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 28 47 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 28 45 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 29 47 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 27 48 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 23 42 26 60 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 28 44 31 59 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 28 45 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 28 48 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 25 45 25 60 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 28 44 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Freeze Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Monday for ARZ008-017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122- 130-137-138-140-141-221-222-230-237-238-240-241-340-341. && $$ SHORT TERM...56 LONG TERM....56 AVIATION...55