552
FXUS64 KLZK 081748
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1148 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 256 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

To begin the period, an upper level low is located across the Four
Corners region and will continue to push off towards the northeast.
This will bring a surface low pressure system across the Central
Plains and into the Great Lakes region. This low pressure system is
expected to drag a cold front across the state late in the period.
This will increase PoPs as we head into later this evening and into
Saturday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
state Friday evening through the end of the period. This will bring
the chance for isolated flash flooding and hazardous driving
conditions. The chance for severe remains low at this time.

Temperatures are expected to be average to slightly above average
through the period. Highs are expected to be in the lower 60s to mid
70s with overnight lows dropping into the upper 40s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 256 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

A front will be dropping SE across the state at the start of the
long term period...with POPs decreasing from NW to SE throughout Sun
afternoon. Drier weather will be seen early next week behind this
front. A fast moving upper wave will pass over the region on
Tue...but moisture levels will remain low enough to see dry
conditions persisting. Moisture levels will increase by Wed however
as  warm front lifts north ahead of a new approaching shortwave.
This next shortwave will be more potent...with some SHRA and a few
TSRA possible on Wed into Wed night. This system is rather fast
moving as well...with dry weather returning by the end of this
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Widespread MVFR/IFR ceilings wl persist across the FA thru the PD.
An area of showers/few rumbles of thunder wl cont to lift
northward acrs western AR this aftn. Additional rounds of rain/some
storms wl affect the area tngt and Sat, assocd with an apchg storm
sys fm the west and a northward advancing warm fnt. Breezy E/NE
winds wl be common as well.

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....62
AVIATION...44