074
FXUS64 KLZK 081800
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1200 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1239 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

-Dense fog this morning

-Mainly dry conditions for the next several days

-Coldest air of the season expected by Sun Night/Mon morning,
resulting in most areas seeing sub-freezing conditions

-Wind chills dropping into the lower teens Sun night for some
locations in the higher terrain of the Ozarks

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1239 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

A cold front has dropped SE into the NWRN sections of the
state...ushering in cooler and considerably drier air to this
portion of the state. Further south...moisture levels remain
high...with light winds...and a mostly clear sky. This has resulted
in some areas of dense fog across the SERN half/two-thirds of the
CWA. Expect this fog to dissipate later this Sat morning as temps
warm. Highs will warm back into the 60s and 70s ahead of an
approaching new cold front.

This next cold front will be much stronger...which will surge SE
through the region tonight into Sun morning. This front will bring
much colder air to the region...with likely the coldest temps of the
season so far expected across AR by Mon morning. In fact...lows by
Mon morning should drop below freezing for most areas of the CWA.
Wind chills will also be notable...though remaining above any adv
level criteria. Wind chills Sun Night/Mon morning will dip into the
low/mid teens across some of the higher terrain of the Ozarks. Highs
on Mon will struggle to warm out of the 40s for most areas...with
some higher elevations seeing highs in the upper 30s.

Expect moderating temps starting Tue as SRLY SFC flow returns as SFC
high pressure shifts east. Highs by late next week should warm back
into the 60s...potentially back into the 70s for some areas. No
significant rain chances are expected over the next week as deep
moisture levels will remain limited.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1157 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

VFR conditions are anticipated to persist through this evening and
into the overnight hours prior to some MVFR ceilings affecting the
northern TAF sites during the overnight hours. W winds will become
NW as a front moves across the state this afternoon, with
sustained winds 10-15 kts and gusting 20-25 kts. Gusty NW winds
should persist into the overnight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     42  51  26  45 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         46  57  28  48 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       36  43  23  42 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    45  54  28  47 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  47  54  30  46 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     48  59  30  47 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      43  54  28  49 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  38  46  24  43 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        43  52  28  46 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     47  56  29  47 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   43  53  28  49 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         43  54  27  46 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      45  54  28  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 9 PM Sunday to 9 AM CST Monday for ARZ008-
017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-
138-140-141-221-222-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...77