062
FXUS64 KLZK 182313
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
613 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Weak high pressure remains over Arkansas, with a mix of sun and
fair weather cumulus this afternoon. Given a mostly clear
sky/light wind/lingering low level moisture from recent rain,
patchy fog will once again form later tonight into Thursday
morning. The fog will probably be more spotty than the previous
two mornings.

Large scale troughing will be noted over the western United States
during the near term. On the leading edge of the troughing, a
potent storm system will head from the northern Rockies into the
northern Plains and eventually Canada Thursday/Friday. As this
happens, a cold front will try to push toward us from the
northwest. It appears the front will not make it, but a stray
shower or thunderstorm could affect northern/western sections of
the state.

Otherwise, ridging in the central and southern Plains will build
in our direction. Under the ridge, summer temperatures are coming,
with above average readings in the forecast the next couple of
days. There will also be little to no rain.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

With H500 ridging to the southwest extending northeast over the
state and sfc ridging in place just to the SE, a couple of very warm
days are expected at the start of the period. Highs in the lower to
mid 90s F appear likely across parts of the state before the mid-
level ridge is forced southward as a trough moves across the middle
of the country.

As the mid-level trough continues to shift east of the area, at the
sfc a cold front will push into the state. While dry conditions will
likely hold out for much of the weekend, some rain chances will move
into the state early next week. Temperatures will be a bit closer to
normal behind the front as well.

Near the end of the period it appears a second H500 trough should
move across the middle of the country with another cold front set to
move through at the sfc. This could provide additional cooler air to
the state.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. With that
said, some patchy fog will be possible overnight with MVFR
conditions possible. Winds will be mostly light and variable.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     62  88  67  90 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         66  91  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       64  89  67  93 /   0   0  10  10
Hot Springs AR    67  93  69  97 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  67  91  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     67  91  68  93 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      64  93  67  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  62  89  67  92 /   0   0  10  10
Newport AR        62  87  65  89 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     65  90  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   66  91  69  95 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         63  89  66  92 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      64  88  67  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...73