243
FXUS64 KLZK 091729
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1229 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

-A cooler and drier airmass will be in place across Arkansas through
 the end of the workweek.

-A period of dry weather conditions are likely over the next seven
 days or the entire duration of the forecast period from today through
 Wednesday.

-A warming trend for temperatures overall will be present from the weekend
 into early next workweek. Anticipate temperatures to be 5 to 10
 degrees above average overall compared to normals for mid-
 October.

-No considerable changes of any sort from the previous forecast
 package.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

The beginning of the forecast period across the Natural State will
begin with a drier and cooler airmass in place. Surface high
pressure centered over the Great Lakes region of the CONUS will lead
to northeasterly flow across Arkansas which will usher in a
continued advection of cooler and drier air across the state. In the
upper lvls, elongated ridging will be present over the Southeastern
region of the CONUS extending westward over the Southern Plains
region of the CONUS, this includes over Arkansas which will lead to
nearly zonal flow. Expect a period of temperatures that will be
average for this time of the year to a few degrees below normal
across the state. Low temperatures on Friday morning will fall into
the low to mid 40s across portions of north-central Arkansas and the
higher terrain of western Arkansas.

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

Into the weekend, the surface high pressure will shift eastward and
allow a return to southerly and southeasterly flow across Arkansas.
In response, temperatures will begin to gradually increase overall
and by beginning of the next workweek will be 5 to 10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. An upper lvl ridge will be
centered over the ARK-LA-TEX region of the CONUS and nearly zonal
flow will be noted over Arkansas which will keep dry and warming
conditions present for the remainder of the forecast period. Expect
a continuation of dry and fair weather conditions with overall
warming temperatures.

Models continue to show strong agreement of a dry next seven days
across Arkansas with gradually warming into the weekend and through
the middle of next week or the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

VFR conds are expected across the state thanks to expansive high
pressure settling into the region in the wake of Wednesdays cold
front. SKC should dominate and winds this afternoon should be
E/NErly between 5-15kts with some gusts upwards of 20 kts. Winds
should relax overnight with continued SKC conds into Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     47  79  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         50  80  53  83 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       49  78  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    51  80  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  52  78  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     52  81  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      50  81  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  48  78  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        47  78  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     49  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   52  80  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         48  79  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      50  79  56  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...70