070
FXUS64 KLZK 212310
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
610 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

A weak frontal boundary has dropped south into central sections of
the state early this Thu morning...with some isolated/widely
scattered convection still ongoing along/south of this front over
central/SRN sections. North of this boundary...dewpts were slowly
dropping into the upper 60s with the light NRLY wind. Along/ahead of
this front...dewpts were in the low to mid 70s. The weak front will
continue to slowly drop south overnight...with the chances for
convection also slowly dropping south over time.

With SFC high pressure to the north...and with NRLY/NERLY upper flow
over the region...expect temps to remain cooler though the weekend
than was observed this past week. Precip chances will also remain
relatively low...but there may be at least some potential for an
isolated SHRA or TSRA into Fri with some weak upper energy passing
S/SW over some portion of the state. However...organized and
widespread precip is not expected with this setup.

By late this weekend into early next week...flow aloft will
transition back to a more NWRLY direction...and a new cold front
will drop south into the state. This SFC front will then slow or
stall over some portion of the region for the early to middle part
of next week...becoming parallel to the NW flow aloft. Some upper
waves may pass over this front...increasing the potential for some
rain. These increasing rain chances will begin Mon with the front
dropping south...then increase further Tue and Wed with the front
slowing/stalling over some portion of the region.

Temps for next week look to become much cooler and below normal as a
result of this early week cold front. The cooler temps will also be
result of the better chances of more organized and widespread
rainfall next week as well. This cooler pattern looks to continue
into the foreseeable future as the flow aloft looks to continue from
the NW over the region beyond this forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Some low clouds are possible through the period although remaining
mostly scattered. Widespread VFR conditions are expected through
the period with winds becoming light and variable overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     65  91  66  94 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         68  93  67  95 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       65  88  65  91 /   0   0  10  10
Hot Springs AR    69  93  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  69  92  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     69  94  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      68  93  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  65  90  65  92 /   0   0  10  10
Newport AR        66  90  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     67  93  67  95 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   70  95  69  98 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         67  92  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      68  92  69  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...73