927
FXUS64 KLZK 082301 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
601 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

Mainly quiet conditions are ongoing across the state early this Fri
morning. However...some patchy/isolated pockets of rain were noted
dropping south over ERN and even portions of central AR. This
activity is result of a very weak upper wave diving south around the
ERN periphery of the upper ridge to the west. Expect this potential
for some very isolated SHRA to continue into the early morning
hrs...with some slight chance POPs mentioned as a result.

Another weak upper wave may dive south along the MS River this Fri
afternoon...which could trigger more isolated convection this
afternoon. However..this activity should remain mostly east of the
CWA...keeping silent POPs due to the fairly low confidence.
Otherwise...expecting another typical summer day this Fri...with
temps around or just above normal. Dewpts may mix out enough to keep
most areas just below Heat Adv criteria. However...keep the same
areal coverage of current Heat Adv for WRN sections along the AR
River Valley as this area has best potential for seeing heat index
values exceeding 105 this afternoon. This may be a repeat for Sat as
well.

The upper ridge centered to the west of AR late this week will
gradually weaken and shift further west over the weekend...with
chances for convection increasing slightly as weak low pressure to
the SE moves closer to AR. By the early to middle part of next
week...AR and the Mid-South will be under a weak upper trough...with
chances for afternoon diurnally driven convection increasing as a
result. Temps will cool slightly also for highs...but low level
moisture levels look to also increase some. This may keep heat index
values elevated around 100 each afternoon. Otherwise...no major
systems or fronts will bring organized convection through the end of
the forecast...just more isolated to widely scattered afternoon
convection possible each day. &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     96  74  96  72 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         98  73  95  70 /   0   0  10   0
Harrison AR       96  73  96  72 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    99  75  96  73 /   0   0  10   0
Little Rock   AR  97  75  95  74 /   0   0  10   0
Monticello AR     97  74  95  73 /   0   0  10   0
Mount Ida AR      98  74  96  72 /   0   0  10   0
Mountain Home AR  96  73  95  72 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        95  74  94  72 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     97  73  94  71 /   0   0  10   0
Russellville AR  100  76  98  75 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         97  73  96  71 /   0   0  10   0
Stuttgart AR      96  74  95  73 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

VFR conditions to persist with S/SE winds at generally less than
10 kts. A few gusts may approach 15 kts Saturday afternoon,
especially across portions of west/north AR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     73  95  72  95 /   0  10   0  10
Camden AR         73  96  72  95 /   0  10   0  10
Harrison AR       72  96  73  94 /   0  10   0  10
Hot Springs AR    75  98  74  97 /   0  10   0  10
Little Rock   AR  75  96  74  95 /   0  10   0  10
Monticello AR     74  97  74  95 /   0  10   0  10
Mount Ida AR      75  97  73  96 /   0  10   0  10
Mountain Home AR  73  94  72  93 /   0  10   0  10
Newport AR        73  94  72  94 /   0  10   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     74  97  73  95 /   0  10   0  10
Russellville AR   76  99  75  98 /   0  10   0  10
Searcy AR         72  97  71  95 /   0  10   0  10
Stuttgart AR      75  96  73  94 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ031-032-039-121-
122-130-138-230-238.

Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ031-032-039-
042>044-121-122-130-138-230-238.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...67