Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
615 FXUS64 KLZK 082236 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 536 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 201 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 -A cooler and drier airmass will filter into Arkansas through the end of the workweek. -A period of dry weather conditions are likely over the next seven days or the entire duration of the forecast period from today through Tuesday. -A warming trend for temperatures overall will be present from the weekend into early next workweek. Anticipate temperatures to be 5 to 10 degrees above average overall compared to normals for mid- October. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 201 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: The beginning of the forecast period across the Natural State will begin by being characterized by a drier and cooler airmass in the wake of the FROPA on Tuesday (yesterday). Surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes region of the CONUS will lead to northeasterly flow across Arkansas which will usher in a continued stream of cooler and drier air into the region. In the upper lvls, elongated ridging will be present over the Southeastern region of the CONUS extending westward over the Southern Plains region of the CONUS, this includes over Arkansas which will lead to nearly zonal flow. Expect a period of temperatures that will be average for this time of the year to a few degrees below normal across the state. Low temperatures on Friday morning will fall into the low to mid 40s across portions of north-central Arkansas and the higher terrain of western Arkansas. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: Into the weekend, the surface high pressure will shift eastward and allow a return to southerly and southeasterly flow across Arkansas. In response, temperatures will begin to uptick overall and by beginning of the next workweek will be 5 to 10 degrees above average for this time of the year. An upper lvl ridge will be centered over the ARK-LA-TEX region of the CONUS and nearly zonal flow will be noted over Arkansas which will keep dry and warming conditions present for the remainder of the forecast period. Expect a continuation of dry and fair weather conditions with overall warming temperatures. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 535 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Drier air continues to filter in from the NE late this Wed afternoon...which will continue into the overnight hrs. As a result...expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period...with NRLY/NERLY winds continuing. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 52 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 78 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 50 73 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 56 77 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 56 75 51 77 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 58 79 53 81 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 55 78 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 51 75 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 53 74 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 76 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 56 78 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 53 75 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 55 75 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...74 AVIATION...62