Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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138
FXUS64 KLZK 241941
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
241 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

To begin the period, calmer and drier conditions are expected to
prevail through the evening hours as much of the state sees a brief
break in the heavy rainfall before another couple rounds impact the
state Memorial Day Weekend.

The next system is expected later Saturday night into Sunday morning
bringing once again the chance for heavy rainfall that could lead to
flash flooding. Some of these storms could pose a severe risk with
damaging wind gusts being the primary threat. Additionally, Sunday
afternoon and into Monday another round of heavy rain will be
ushered into the state under this unsettled weather pattern. If you
have any outdoor plans, please remain weather aware this weekend and
have multiple ways to get warnings!

After the already heavy rain that fell across portions of the state,
the ground is saturated and any additional rain could lead to the
threat of flash flooding. Currently NW AR will see the highest,
additional, rainfall totals through Monday night with three to five
inches possible. Elsewhere, we could see an additional two to three
inches across portions of central and western Arkansas with southern
Arkansas seeing up around two inches of additional rainfall.

In addition to some unsettled weather...temperatures are expected to
be average to slightly above average through the period. High
temperatures will vary across the state due to the increase of
clouds expected across northern and central locations. These
locations can expect high temperatures to be in the upper 60s to mid
80s with southern locations in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Showers and thunderstorms continues to push through portions of
central and southern Arkansas and will persist through the next
few hours. A brief break in SHRA/TSRA are expected this afternoon
with another round possible after mid night and Sunday afternoon.
IFR conditions are expected with storms while MVFR conditions are
should prevail otherwise.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     64  79  60  69 /  60  80  90  90
Camden AR         70  91  68  82 /  10  30  70  90
Harrison AR       62  75  58  66 /  70  90  90  90
Hot Springs AR    67  88  66  77 /  20  40  80  90
Little Rock   AR  67  86  66  77 /  30  50  80  90
Monticello AR     71  91  70  84 /  10  40  60  90
Mount Ida AR      67  88  66  77 /  20  40  80  90
Mountain Home AR  62  75  57  65 /  80  90  90  90
Newport AR        65  79  62  71 /  70  80  90  90
Pine Bluff AR     69  89  68  80 /  20  40  80  90
Russellville AR   66  83  64  74 /  40  60  90  90
Searcy AR         65  82  62  74 /  50  70  90  90
Stuttgart AR      68  86  68  77 /  30  50  80  90

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday evening for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-
025-031>034-039-042>047-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-
203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73