552
FXUS64 KLZK 221050 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
550 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Fairly quiet conditions ongoing across the Natural State early this
Fri morning in wake of the front that pushed into the region on Thu.
Light NERLY winds were noted...keeping relatively lower moisture
levels in place. Flow aloft will continue from the NE over the
region...with SFC high pressure to the NE of the state. This will
keep mainly dry conditions in place as light NERLY winds are
expected to continue into the weekend. While NERLY winds and
relatively drier air will remain...temps will still warm to near or
above normal today and into Sat.

By late Sat into early Sun...flow aloft will transition back to a
more NWRLY direction over the region as an upper shortwave drops SE
over the region. A new cold front will then drop south towards
AR...moving south through the state by late this weekend. By late
this weekend into early next week...this front looks to slow or
stall over some portion of the region...potentially SW of AR. Flow
aloft will remain from the NW during much of next week...parallel to
the SFC boundary. Upper waves will move over the region in this NW
flow aloft...with some increased rain chances returning to the
forecast starting late Mon. These increased rain chances look to
continue for much of next week for at least some portion of the
state.

While the front may slow or stall in vicinity of the state...or just
S/SW of AR...the placement of best chances for rainfall may be
uncertain depending on where the boundary ends up. NRLY SFC flow
will bring in cooler and drier air to the region in wake of the
front...which may also cause some uncertainty in rain potential. In
any case...below normal conditions are expected for much of next
week either due to the post frontal air...or rain potential.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF
period. Light NRLY/NERLY winds will be seen throughout the next 24
hrs...with maybe some patchy CU this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     90  65  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         94  66  95  67 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       89  63  90  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    94  68  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  91  68  93  70 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     93  68  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      93  67  96  69 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  90  64  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        89  65  91  69 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     93  65  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   94  69  96  71 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         91  65  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      91  67  94  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62