Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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988
FXUS64 KLZK 232333 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
633 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

- Relatively cooler conditions will prevail through the end of the
  week.

- Hazardous heat set to return to the region by Sunday, with
  multiple 100 degree days possible through mid-week next week.

- In addition to daytime heat next week, overnight lows may
  struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

THURSDAY (TODAY) through FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, the eastern edge of the ridge has weakened
leading to northwesterly flow over Arkansas. In response,
slightly cooler and drier has funneled and continues to funnel
into the state via a continental airmass in the wake of a cold
front that moved across the state yesterday. The trend of these
overall temperatures that will be near normal to a few degrees
below normal will be present through the end of the week.

SATURDAY through WEDNESDAY:

In the upper lvls, the region of high pressure is progged to expand
back eastward over Arkansas and intensify for the remainder of the
forecast period. The established upper lvl region of high pressure
will lead to subsidence or sinking air over Arkansas which will
promote dry conditions.

At the sfc, the cold front that is currently moving southward across
Arkansas is forecast to become a stationary boundary in northern
Louisiana, but then progress northeastward as a warm front back
across Arkansas by the early morning hours on Saturday. In tandem
with the strengthening overhead ridge, the passage of this surface
warm front will allow south-southwesterly winds to become present at
the surface across Arkansas advecting in a combination of warm
temperatures and Gulf moisture that will once again transpire into
increased air temperature values, increased dewpoint temperatures;
therefore, high temperatures across the state are expected to surge
again back to near and above the century mark across most of the
state by the following workweek along with heat indices which will
warrant heat products and likely reach well into the triple digit
values between 105 to 115+ degrees across most of the state.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

VFR condns were noted acrs the FA, w/ recent vissat imgry
depicting diurnal Cu dissipating under approaching higher Cirrus
over Nrn AR. Thru the PD, a wrmfrnt wl move Nwrd into Cntrl AR by
24/12Z. Expect lower CIGs to develop invof this frnt, w/
intermittent MVFR condns possible, though confidence remains lower
attm. Lower CIGs should persist thru much of Fri aftn, w/ some
scattered precip possible invof the frnt as well. Winds wl be
variable thru the overnight PD, bcmg Srly as the frnt moves Nwrd.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     69  91  75  95 /   0  20  50  40
Camden AR         74  93  75  95 /  10  10  10  10
Harrison AR       68  89  76  94 /   0  30  30  20
Hot Springs AR    73  93  76  96 /   0  10  20  10
Little Rock   AR  73  93  79  96 /   0  10  30  20
Monticello AR     75  93  77  95 /  10  10  10  10
Mount Ida AR      73  91  76  94 /   0  10  20  10
Mountain Home AR  68  87  74  93 /   0  30  40  20
Newport AR        70  90  75  96 /   0  10  50  50
Pine Bluff AR     73  93  75  95 /  10  10  20  20
Russellville AR   73  93  78  98 /   0  10  20  10
Searcy AR         70  92  75  96 /   0  20  60  30
Stuttgart AR      73  93  77  95 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...72