887
FXUS64 KLZK 102336
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
636 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will be possible
 across northern Arkansas through this afternoon.

-Saturday and through the remainder of the forecast period, dry and
settled weather is expected, with above normal temperatures
prevailing.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Outside of isolated rain and thunderstorm chances acrs Nrn AR this
aftn, a persistence-style fcst is on deck for the Natural State thru
the next 5-7 days as upper lvl ridging builds in over the Cntrl US.

Regarding rain chances this aftn, an embedded vort max is progged to
maneuver thru mean NWrly H500 flow, and may support development of a
cluster or even weak MCS acrs portions of MO, w/ precip possibly
reaching into Nrn AR later this aftn. Have included higher PoP
mentions, but QPF and covg of precip should remain on the low side.

Following today, a mean pattern of H500 ridging is expected to build
in acrs the Cntrl US, w/ asctd sfc high pressure residing over the
Ern half of the US. This should promote persistence condns, w/ above
normal temperatures and dry and settled weather condns prevailing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

4K-8K ft ceilings will affect northern and central sections of
the forecast area between 02-12z. VFR conditions will continue to
prevail through the valid forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     79  57  83  54 /  10  10   0   0
Camden AR         80  55  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       78  58  81  57 /  20  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    81  59  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  79  60  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     81  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      81  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  78  57  83  56 /  40  20   0   0
Newport AR        79  60  82  55 /  20  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     80  58  83  56 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   81  60  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         79  58  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      79  58  82  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...55