Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 140750
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
250 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

-Hot conditions will be the primary story through the weekend and
 into much of next week.

-Additional heat headlines are highly likely into early next week
 if ensemble and deterministic model trends continue.

-Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern
through the rest of this week and into the weekend. While some
low-end rain chances are possible underneath the ridge, it is not
all that likely as the ridge centers itself over the state.

With this pattern change, dangerously hot temperatures are
expected through the weekend as temperatures soar to above
average. Many locations will likely see temperatures rise to near
100 degrees or just above with heat index values slightly
higher. An extreme heat warning and heat advisories are in effect
through Sunday.

Remember that if need to be outside for any reason, make sure to
take plenty of breaks and find shade to rest in. Also be sure to
drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Expect VFR flight category for all sites during the entire forecast
period of early Friday morning through early Saturday morning. The
TAF sites of KHRO, KHOT, and KADF will experience a small window of
low level wind shear early Friday morning prior to sunrise.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR    103  78 104  79 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         99  75  99  76 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       99  77  99  78 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR   100  76 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR 103  78 103  80 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR    100  77 101  78 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      98  74  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR       102  77 103  78 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR    100  76 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR  103  76 103  78 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR        103  76 104  77 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR     102  77 103  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ004-005-014-024-031-
039-042-043-052>056-062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-
141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-032>034-044>047-057.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...74