069
FXUS64 KLZK 091706 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1206 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

-No significant rainfall expected for the next week

-Near/below normal conditions will gradually warm above normal later
in the week into the weekend

-Slightly cooler conditions possible by early next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

Mainly quiet and cool conditions are ongoing across the Natural
State early this Tue morning...with most areas seeing temps drop
again into the 50s and 60s so far. A weak upper wave is passing SE
over SRN MO...with mainly some increased clouds noted...though some
diminishing precip was seen over NERN OK. Expect any remaining
activity to dissipate this morning...or remain west of AR...with
lows dropping down into the 50s for most areas. Some upper 40s will
be possible in the more sheltered valley areas.

Dry conditions and light winds will continue for Mon as flow aloft
will continue from the NW over the region. Moisture levels will
remain low...allowing afternoon temps to warm into the mid 70s to
mid 80s...or a couple deg warmer than seen on Mon afternoon.

Weak SRLY flow will return for Wed...though a new...fast moving
upper wave will drop SE over the region Wed into Wed night. Temps
will warm a few more deg for Wed as a result of the SRLY winds...but
should see a bit more cloud cover on Wed with this upper wave.
Should still see dry conditions...given no significant moisture
return ahead of the upper wave. Even so...wouldn`t be completely
surprised to see an isolated SHRA/TSRA Wed evening/night. Most areas
should remain dry though.

Flow aloft will transition from NWRLY to a more NRLY direction by
late this week as an upper ridge of high pressure expands to the
west of AR. This upper ridge looks to drift east over AR by this
weekend. Temps will warm by late this week into the weekend...with
above normal conditions expected into early next week. No major
chances for rainfall are expected however...especially with the
upper ridge overhead. The upper ridge may then shift east and weaken
by late in the forecast...with temps starting to slowly cool
starting early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

VFR conditions to persist through the period with variable winds
at less than 10 kts. Some increase in cloud cover above 5k ft is
possible across northern AR terminals as a diminishing TS complex
over SE Kansas drifts slowly S/SE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     60  90  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         61  91  62  93 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       59  88  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    60  91  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  62  89  65  91 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     65  93  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      59  90  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  58  91  62  93 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        61  90  64  92 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     62  91  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   60  91  65  93 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         60  90  64  92 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      63  91  65  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...67