026
FXUS64 KLZK 092033
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
233 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 232 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Primary sfc low was centered over southwest NE this aftn, with an
assocd occluded front extending to the east and south just to the
west of AR. Another sfc low was noted over west-central AR, with a
CDFNT aligned to the south and an assocd warm fnt situated across
the southern part of the FA.

The main storm system will cont to move to the northeast, making its
way into the Great Lakes region late Sun. This wl allow the CDFNT
to work slowly to the east, eventually moving pushing out of the FA
by Sun evening. Rain chcs will diminish behind the FROPA as drier
air starts to advect into the region. Expect patchy fog to form late
tngt over the valley areas of western AR, esp where clouds thin out.

High pressure will settle into the Mid-South by Monday, resulting is
much drier conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 232 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

An upper ridge and surface high pressure will shift eastward across
central portions of the U.S. through Tuesday night.By the middle of
next week, an upper trough will move across the region. Cloud cover
will increase late Tuesday night and rain chances will return to the
state Wednesday as a cold front sweeps across the state. Rain
chances look to be greatest across northern portions of the state
Wednesday afternoon, though the latest model runs have been backing
off on coverage and probability across the state, compared to
previous runs. Rainfall totals during this period look to remain
less than one-tenth of an inch.

Rain cuts off late Wednesday night, as upper ridging and surface
high pressure begin building across the region. High pressure and
rain free conditions are forecast Thursday through the end of the
week.

High temperatures will not change much through the period, remaining
in the 60s/70s. Low temperatures will be in the 40s/50s through the
period, with the lowest temperatures expected post-cold front (Wed
night and Thurs night), in the lower 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

IFR/LIFR flight conds will cont thru much of the fcst PD, as low
clouds and rain chcs persist. A warm fnt is progged to lift slowly
northward thru this evening, with some brief MVFR conds possible
south of the bndry. Late tngt into Sun, a CDFNT wl work its way
into western AR, with flight conds improving as drier air starts
to advect in behind the FROPA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     60  76  48  70 /  50  10   0   0
Camden AR         64  75  52  75 /  40  20   0   0
Harrison AR       47  69  43  67 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    58  76  49  73 /  30  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  63  76  52  73 /  50  20   0   0
Monticello AR     66  77  56  74 /  70  40  10   0
Mount Ida AR      53  76  46  73 /  10   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  50  71  44  67 /  20   0   0   0
Newport AR        62  73  48  69 /  60  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     65  76  52  73 /  60  30  10   0
Russellville AR   54  73  47  72 /  10   0   0   0
Searcy AR         62  75  48  71 /  60  20   0   0
Stuttgart AR      66  74  52  71 /  60  30   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...44