


Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
210 FOUS51 KLWX 122037 PFMLWX Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 VAZ054-130800- Reagan National Airport-Arlington VA 38.86N 77.03W Elev. 66 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 57 62 55 71 56 Temp 62 60 60 59 59 59 60 62 61 60 60 57 57 57 63 69 71 66 63 60 58 56 Dewpt 54 55 54 54 53 53 54 54 54 53 54 54 53 53 54 55 55 55 54 53 51 51 RH 75 84 81 83 80 80 81 75 78 78 81 90 86 86 72 61 57 68 72 78 77 83 Wind dir N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW Wind spd 20 18 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 14 14 13 13 13 16 17 17 12 12 12 12 13 Wind gust 34 29 28 26 28 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 60 40 5 0 QPF 12hr 0.05 0.14 0.02 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C S C C C C L L C C C C C Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 69 47 63 44 64 50 72 57 75 Temp 68 61 53 47 60 57 49 45 61 58 52 51 70 64 60 58 73 65 Dewpt 47 42 38 37 35 35 35 35 36 39 42 43 46 50 52 53 54 53 PWind dir NW N NW N NW W SW S SW Wind char BZ GN BZ GN GN LT GN GN GN Avg clouds FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S $$ MDZ013-130800- Baltimore/Washington Airport-Anne Arundel MD 39.19N 76.67W Elev. 154 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 56 60 55 71 54 Temp 60 58 57 57 57 57 58 59 59 57 56 57 56 57 61 68 70 65 60 58 56 54 Dewpt 55 56 56 55 54 55 57 57 57 57 55 54 54 54 57 59 58 58 55 53 50 51 RH 84 93 96 93 90 93 96 93 93100 96 90 93 90 87 73 66 78 84 83 80 90 Wind dir NE NE NE N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW Wind spd 17 13 12 11 12 11 14 14 14 12 10 9 10 10 11 11 10 6 5 5 6 6 Wind gust 29 28 27 27 26 25 26 25 26 25 23 20 20 16 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 60 50 5 0 QPF 12hr 0.10 0.28 0.04 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C C C C C L L L C C C C C Obvis PF Coast Flood Y Y Y Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 68 45 62 41 64 47 71 55 75 Temp 67 58 48 45 59 55 46 42 61 56 49 48 69 61 57 57 73 64 Dewpt 49 45 38 37 37 38 35 36 39 42 41 42 47 52 52 53 58 56 PWind dir NW N N N NW W SW SW SW Wind char GN GN GN LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 SC B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S $$ MDZ011-130800- Baltimore Inner Harbor-Baltimore City MD 39.28N 76.61W Elev. 20 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 57 63 56 72 57 Temp 62 59 60 60 59 58 60 62 62 60 60 59 58 58 64 70 72 66 64 61 59 57 Dewpt 53 54 53 54 53 53 53 54 54 53 53 53 53 52 53 54 54 54 53 52 50 49 RH 72 83 78 81 80 83 78 75 75 78 78 80 83 80 67 57 53 65 67 72 72 75 Wind dir NE NE N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW Wind spd 18 16 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 14 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 8 6 5 8 8 Wind gust 33 31 29 28 29 28 27 26 27 26 26 26 24 17 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 60 50 0 0 QPF 12hr 0.07 0.34 0.04 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C C C C C L L L C C C C C Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 69 48 64 45 66 50 72 59 76 Temp 67 62 53 48 61 57 49 46 63 59 52 52 70 64 62 59 74 66 Dewpt 45 42 38 35 34 34 34 34 36 38 40 40 44 49 51 51 53 52 PWind dir NW N N N NW W SW SW SW Wind char GN GN GN LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 SC B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S $$ WVZ052-130800- Martinsburg Airport-Berkeley WV 39.41N 77.98W Elev. 558 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 52 62 52 73 49 Temp 61 58 55 55 54 54 58 61 62 58 56 56 54 55 63 71 72 65 58 55 52 50 Dewpt 52 52 52 51 51 52 52 52 51 51 51 51 50 50 52 53 53 52 51 49 48 47 RH 72 80 90 86 90 93 80 72 67 77 83 83 86 83 67 53 51 63 77 80 86 89 Wind dir NE N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW Wind spd 13 10 10 10 11 11 13 13 13 11 10 9 10 10 11 11 11 6 6 6 8 9 Wind gust 24 24 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 30 50 20 0 0 QPF 12hr 0.02 0.10 0.01 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs S C C C C C C C C S S Obvis PF Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 69 40 63 37 66 41 73 51 75 Temp 66 59 46 41 61 54 43 38 63 56 45 43 71 61 54 53 73 63 Dewpt 42 40 35 33 32 33 34 33 35 37 38 38 44 47 50 50 52 49 PWind dir NW NW NW NW NW W S S SW Wind char GN GN GN LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 Rain shwrs S S C $$ VAZ506-130800- Washington Dulles Airport-Loudoun VA 38.96N 77.45W Elev. 321 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 55 61 54 72 54 Temp 62 59 57 56 56 55 58 59 59 58 56 55 55 55 61 70 72 66 60 57 55 54 Dewpt 55 56 56 55 55 55 57 57 56 56 55 54 53 53 57 59 58 58 56 54 51 51 RH 78 90 96 96 96100 96 93 90 93 96 96 93 93 87 68 61 75 87 90 86 90 Wind dir N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW Wind spd 16 12 12 11 13 13 14 16 14 13 11 10 11 11 13 12 12 6 6 6 9 10 Wind gust 28 24 21 24 25 26 27 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 30 60 30 0 0 QPF 12hr 0.04 0.22 0.04 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C C S C C C L L C C C S S Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 69 44 63 38 65 44 73 54 76 Temp 68 58 48 44 60 55 44 39 62 56 47 45 71 62 57 55 74 65 Dewpt 48 44 38 36 36 37 36 36 40 41 41 42 48 51 53 54 58 55 PWind dir NW N NW N NW SW SW S SW Wind char GN GN GN LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 B1 SC PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S $$ VAZ037-130800- Charlottesville Airport-Albemarle VA 38.14N 78.45W Elev. 640 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 54 66 52 74 51 Temp 61 58 57 57 56 55 61 65 64 59 57 56 54 54 65 72 73 66 60 57 53 52 Dewpt 56 54 53 53 53 52 52 52 51 51 51 51 50 50 53 53 53 52 52 50 49 49 RH 84 86 86 86 90 90 72 63 63 75 80 83 86 86 65 51 49 61 75 77 86 89 Wind dir N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW Wind spd 14 12 11 10 10 10 11 11 11 6 6 6 8 8 10 11 10 6 5 5 5 5 Wind gust 26 25 24 21 21 20 21 21 17 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 OV B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW CL CL FW FW CL PoP 12hr 30 20 10 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C C C C S S S S S Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 74 42 66 38 67 45 75 53 75 Temp 73 60 50 43 63 56 44 39 64 57 47 47 73 62 57 53 73 64 Dewpt 43 42 40 36 33 33 35 35 36 40 41 41 47 50 51 51 54 52 PWind dir N N N NW SW SW SW SW SW Wind char GN LT LT LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S S $$ MDZ003-130800- Hagerstown Airport-Washington MD 39.71N 77.73W Elev. 705 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 54 62 52 73 50 Temp 62 58 56 55 55 55 58 60 61 57 55 55 53 53 63 71 72 65 58 54 52 51 Dewpt 51 52 53 53 53 53 54 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 55 56 56 56 54 51 49 49 RH 67 80 90 93 93 93 86 84 78 90 93 93 96 96 75 59 57 73 86 90 89 93 Wind dir NE NE N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW Wind spd 16 12 12 11 12 13 16 14 16 13 10 9 10 10 12 11 12 6 6 5 6 8 Wind gust 25 Clouds B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 50 20 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0.11 0 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs S S S C C C C C C S S Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 67 40 62 37 65 43 72 53 75 Temp 65 57 45 41 59 53 40 39 62 55 46 45 70 60 55 53 72 63 Dewpt 45 41 36 35 34 35 35 34 38 39 40 40 45 49 51 51 56 53 PWind dir NW NW NW NW NW SW S S SW Wind char GN GN GN LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 Rain shwrs S S C $$ MDZ017-130800- Patuxent River NAS MD 38.29N 76.41W Elev. 39 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 58 64 56 70 57 Temp 63 60 60 60 59 60 62 63 63 60 59 57 57 58 63 67 69 66 63 60 58 59 Dewpt 59 58 58 57 57 57 58 58 58 57 57 56 56 57 57 58 58 58 58 56 54 54 RH 87 93 93 90 93 90 87 84 84 90 93 96 96 96 81 73 68 75 84 87 86 83 Wind dir N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Wind spd 25 21 19 18 18 16 20 20 20 20 16 16 14 14 16 14 14 11 11 11 10 10 Wind gust 37 35 32 32 32 28 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC SC FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 50 50 5 0 QPF 12hr 0.12 0.21 0.14 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O O O O O Rain shwrs C C C C C C C C C C C C C Coast Flood Y Y Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 70 48 63 47 63 51 71 59 75 Temp 69 61 53 49 60 57 50 49 61 57 53 53 69 63 60 61 73 66 Dewpt 52 48 42 40 39 40 40 39 40 43 45 46 49 53 53 54 59 59 PWind dir N N N N NW W SW SW S Wind char GN GN GN GN GN LT LT GN GN Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 Rain shwrs S $$ WVZ502-130800- Petersburg WV 38.99N 79.15W Elev. 963 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 49 67 47 75 45 Temp 61 56 52 50 49 49 58 65 67 60 55 52 49 48 63 73 74 65 55 51 47 46 Dewpt 54 53 52 50 49 49 54 54 53 53 52 51 49 48 53 54 53 53 52 49 47 46 RH 78 90100100100100 86 68 61 78 90 96100100 70 51 48 65 90 93100100 Wind dir NW NW NW NW NW W N N N N N N N NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW Wind spd 10 8 5 5 5 5 8 10 10 4 5 4 4 4 8 10 10 5 4 2 2 3 Wind gust 18 16 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 40 20 10 0 0 QPF 12hr 0.02 0 0 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O Rain shwrs C C C C S S Obvis PF PF Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 70 35 65 32 70 42 80 51 77 Temp 67 58 42 36 62 53 38 33 67 57 45 44 77 63 54 52 75 63 Dewpt 42 43 37 33 33 37 34 31 36 41 38 37 47 52 52 50 54 52 PWind dir NW NW NW W NW SW SW SW SW Wind char GN LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 Rain shwrs S C C $$ MDZ014-130800- Annapolis MD 38.99N 76.49W Elev. 7 ft 437 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Date 10/12/25 Mon 10/13/25 Tue 10/14/25 Wed EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 56 62 55 69 57 Temp 62 60 59 60 58 57 60 60 61 60 60 58 57 59 63 67 69 66 63 60 58 59 Dewpt 57 56 56 56 56 56 55 56 56 56 56 56 55 55 55 56 57 57 56 55 53 52 RH 84 87 90 87 93 96 84 87 84 87 87 93 93 87 75 68 66 73 78 84 83 78 Wind dir NE NE NE N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N NW Wind spd 21 16 16 14 13 13 17 17 16 14 13 12 12 11 13 14 12 9 9 8 9 9 Wind gust 34 31 29 28 28 27 27 25 Clouds OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 60 60 50 5 5 QPF 12hr 0.13 0.29 0.05 0 0 Snow 12hr 00-00 00-00 00-00 Drizzle O O O O O O Rain shwrs C S C C L L L L C C C C C Coast Flood Y Y Y Date 10/15 Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 Sun 10/19/25 EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 67 48 61 46 62 50 69 58 72 Temp 65 61 52 50 59 57 50 47 59 58 52 52 67 63 60 60 70 65 Dewpt 48 46 40 39 38 39 38 39 40 43 45 45 48 53 54 54 56 55 PWind dir N N N N NW W SW SW S Wind char GN GN GN GN GN LT LT LT GN Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 B1 SC PoP 12hr 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rain shwrs S $$