Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
914
FNUS71 KLWX 141307
FWSLWX
Spot Forecast for Woodside...Monongahala NF
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
807 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Current conditions nearby at the fire show that overnight
recoveries were slightly higher than this time yesterday. The
closest RAWS is near Durbin, WV and had morning RH around 68
percent at this hour. Winds are also much lighter, with speeds
less than 5 mph at this time.
High pressure will build overhead today which will lead to lighter
winds today when compared to yesterday. The afternoon min RH should
be in the 35 to 40 percent range on the midslopes/ridges, but could
be closer to 25 to 30 percent down in the nearby lower drainage.
Good overnight recoveries are expected into the weekend as a warm
front approaches the region.
Some rain is possible on Saturday, but is likely not to make it
east of the Allegheny Front until Saturday evening. Even then, the
likelihood of a wetting rain (a tenth of an inch or more) seems
pretty low at this time,
Dry and gusty winds return on Sunday into Monday, with RH expected
to drop back into the 20s and 30s during the day. Monday will also
be preceded by poor overnight RH recovery Sunday night into Monday
morning. This makes Monday jump out as a day to watch in terms of
fire weather concerns, especially if there is very little rainfall
with the Saturday night system.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (53300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
late in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5 12 10 14 25 26 32 25 31 42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............30 35 39 43 45 47 47 47 46 45
RH..............66 56 46 41 40 38 37 40 42 43
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.14 15 15 15 15 18 18 20 20 22
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 9 9 9 9 11 11 12 12 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.3 1.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 18 18 20 21 22 21 22 18 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 19 26 36 47 53 46 44 26 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain overnight. Chance of rain overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 24
mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (8600 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Eye level winds.....West winds around 5 to 8 mph with gusts to
around 15 mph.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........54 63 62 68 81 85
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 30 30
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 42 43 43 42 43
RH..............51 62 76 86 96 100
20 ft wind......W 8 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 9 W 8
20 ft wind gust.21 23 22 22 23 22
Eye level wind..W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.13 14 13 13 14 13
Mix hgt (ft)....800 700 800 800 800 800
Transport wind..W 14 W 17 W 18 W 20 NW 18 NW 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 11 13 13 13 12
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
in the morning.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 25 mph increasing to 28 to 31 mph in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (60600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........80 67 84 89 91 88
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30 30 30 30 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............44 46 48 51 53 53
RH..............100 100 100 93 86 86
20 ft wind......W 8 W 8 W 9 W 10 W 12 W 13
20 ft wind gust.21 21 22 24 26 30
Eye level wind..W 5 W 5 W 5 W 6 W 7 W 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.13 13 13 14 16 18
Mix hgt (ft)....700 1000 1400 1800 2100 2200
Transport wind..W 17 W 18 W 23 W 25 W 31 W 31
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 16 28 44 58 61
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Colder. Mostly cloudy with rain likely before sunrise, becoming
mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds around 20 to
25 mph, gusting up to 45 mph. RH drops to 30 to 40 percent during
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Highs in the low 40s. Northwest winds around 15 to 20
mph, gusting up to 35 mph through the early afternoon, decreasing
to 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph by mid to late afternoon. RH
drops to 25 to 35 percent during the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Highs around 40. Southwest winds around
6-11 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Ledbetter
Requested by...Conor Shanahan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525918.0/LWX
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL justin.l.sperry@usda.gov,Conor.Shanahan@usda.gov