Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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370
FNUS71 KLWX 221225
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Eagle Rock Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
825 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

In the wake of a weak cold front, westerly winds may be gusty for a
time this morning. A few gusts of 20-30 mph can`t be ruled out
through 11 AM this morning, before gusts settle into the 10-15 mph
range. Dry conditions are expected through the day with humidity
values dropping into the 30s. Relatively low humidity with modest
nighttime recoveries are expected through Thursday. The next chance
of rain will arrive Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39600 knot-ft).
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 4 mph.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  44  41  51  61  62  63  68  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  64  66  66  68  71  72  72  72
RH..............62  56  48  47  44  36  35  34  34
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  16  15  14  12  12  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47  52  51  46  50  53  47  47  40
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 3 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  74  67  68  47  48  55  54  39  43  42  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  68  66  60  58  55  55  54  53  51  49  49
RH..............36  39  42  53  55  61  61  64  64  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31  17  5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 3 mph late in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  45  45  36  34  31  28  21  17  15  12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  49  52  56  63  67  69  71  74  75  76  75
RH..............68  68  63  57  46  40  37  35  32  32  31  33
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   SE  SE  S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.7 3.5 4.3 4.9 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   9   11  14  17  20  24  25  25  23
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Snyder
Requested by...Amy Farley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2511285.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL amy.farley@usda.gov