083
FNUS71 KLWX 051851
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Nature Works_GlenRX...Sustainable Solutions, LLC
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
251 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1900 EDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Strong high pressure will graudally push offshore Monday night into Tuesday
allowing for south to southwesterly return flow to increase across the burn
location. Meanwhile, a cold front will approach from the Ohio River Valley
Tuesday afternoon before crossing the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning
bringing the next chance of measurable rainfall to the region. Rainfall amounts
of a quarter to a half an inch are possible over the burn location late Tuesday night
through Wednesday midday.

Humidity values will gradually climb late Monday into Tuesday as moisture builds
on southerly flow. Expect recoveries around 100 percent Monday night with minimum
relative humidity values falling between 55 to 60 percent Tuesday afternoon. These values
could trend slightly lower Tuesday afternoon given downsloping off the Blue Ridge
which will yield temperatures in the low 80s over the burn location.

Winds will remain light out of the south Monday night at 5 to 10 mph before increasing
to 7 to 15 mph late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph are
possible Tuesday afternoon as the gradient tightens between the departing high
offshore and incoming cold frontal boundary from the Ohio River Valley.

Minimum relative humidity values will fall back into the 50 to 55 percent range
Wednesday afternoon as winds shift back toward the west and northwest direction. Expect
gusts up to 20 mph through the afternoon as a drier and cooler post-frontal airmass
moves in.


.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent shading).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   8   4   9   14  16  18  20  23  25  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  69  67  65  64  63  63  62  61  60  60
RH..............68  73  78  84  84  87  84  87  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  13  10  12  12  13  13  13  12  12  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent shading).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (57500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     36     43     50     56     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10     10
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............59     59     68     75     78     79
RH..............96     96     78     69     62     60
20 ft wind......S 7    S 7    S 9    S 10   S 13   S 13
20 ft wind gust.13     12     15     18     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    1400   2700   3700   3700
Transport wind..S 10   S 12   S 14   S 16   S 17   S 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      5      17     38     56     55
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent shading). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance
                    of showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 15 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........68        88        91        96
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
CWR.............10        50        50        80
Chc of thdr (%).10        20        20        20
Temp............77        70        68        66
RH..............64        81        87        97
20 FT wind......S 10G18   S 8G15    S 7G13    SW 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....2500      M         M         M
Transport wind..S 15      M         M         M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33        M         M         M
Ventrate Cat....POOR      M         M         M

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent shading) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent shading). Showers early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    early afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of thunder...23 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........93           82           55
Weather cov.....DEFNTE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC        S CHC
CWR.............80           50           10
Chc of thdr (%).20           20           10
Temp............64           65           69
RH..............100          97           66
20 FT wind......SW 8G13      NW 10G17     N 12G20
Mix hgt (ft)....M            M            M
Transport wind..M            M            M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..M            M            M
Ventrate Cat....M            M            M

$$
Forecaster...Taylor
Requested by...James R. Remuzzi
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522991.0/LWX
.DELDT 10/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james@sustainablesolutionsllc.net