Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
766
FNUS71 KLWX 160716
FWSLWX
Spot Forecast for Woodside...Monongahala NF
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
216 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
The fire site will be on the boundary of very dry air to the east,
and slightly higher relative humidity to the west. Along and west
of the Allegheny front may only have relative humidity values
dropping to around 50 percent, but on the eastern slopes into the
adjacent valleys relative humidity could easily drop into the 30s,
if not briefly lower.
Winds will be gusty across the entire region today, with west to
northwest gusts peaking between 40 and 50 mph. A few rogue gusts
in excess of 55 mph are possible especially in favored downslope
areas or mountain passes. Winds should gradually subside this
evening and overnight.
Relative humidity recovery tonight may be poor, especially
on the eastern slopes.
Monday will be another dry and breezy day. Although winds may not
be as strong (generally about 10 mph less), relative humidity may
be lower. Winds should finally become much lighter Monday night,
with relative humidity increasing during this time.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 18 to 21 mph with gusts to
around 47 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 30 to 38 mph increasing to 38 to 44
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (133600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (77300
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 11 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 28 mph.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64 52 42 34 25 17 10 6 7 5 6 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............42 39 38 38 38 37 38 37 37 36 35 32
RH..............86 89 82 73 67 61 54 52 50 50 49 56
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W
20 FT wind spd..18 18 20 20 20 21 20 20 21 20 18 20
20 FT wind gust.43 43 44 46 46 47 47 47 45 44 43 43
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W
Eye lvl wnd spd.11 11 12 12 12 13 12 12 13 12 11 12
Eye lvl wnd gst.26 26 26 28 28 28 28 28 27 26 26 26
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 2.3
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.31 30 35 36 37 38 40 40 43 44 44 38
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47 39 64 81 100 118 132 134 145 146 145 77
Ventrate Cat....FR PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 18 to 22 mph with gusts to
around 48 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 32 to 41 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (79600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to good (48400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 11 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........12 13 17 18 23 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............32 29 29 27 25 24
RH..............56 63 63 65 65 71
20 ft wind......NW 18 NW 20 NW 22 NW 22 NW 22 NW 22
20 ft wind gust.43 45 48 48 47 47
Eye level wind..NW 11 NW 12 NW 13 NW 13 NW 13 NW 13
Eye lvl wnd gst.26 27 29 29 28 28
Mix hgt (ft)....1700 2000 2200 2100 1900 1600
Transport wind..NW 32 NW 37 NW 41 NW 40 NW 37 NW 36
Vrate kt-ft/1K..48 65 80 72 61 51
Ventrate Cat....FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD FAIR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 21 mph with gusts to
around 46 mph shifting to the west around 10
mph with gusts to around 29 mph late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 35 to 44 mph decreasing to 29 to 32
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (84300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 28 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph
with gusts to around 17 mph late in the
afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........15 8 8 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0
Temp............23 26 31 32
RH..............74 65 53 49
20 FT wind......NW 21G46 NW 18G43 NW 16G39 W 13G32
Eye level wind..NW 13G28 NW 11G26 NW 10G23 W 8G19
Mix hgt (ft)....1400 1900 2400 2300
Transport wind..NW 35 NW 43 NW 40 NW 36
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43 71 83 72
Ventrate Cat....FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
$$
Forecaster...Hofmann
Requested by...Conor Shanahan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525918.2/LWX
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Conor.Shanahan@usda.gov,justin.l.sperry@usda.gov