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FNUS74 KLUB 191906
FWSLUB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Motley 3931...TFS
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
206 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 CDT on August 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered showers are expected to develop this afternoon near the
burn site and may persist through the early morning hours. Although wind speeds
are expected to remain light, localized gusty and erratic winds
will be possible with any stronger storm core that develops. Additionally,
nailing the exact direction of the wind will be difficult, although expected to
remain predominately out of the east and/or variable at times, any outflow
boundaries tracking through the burn site could cause brief directional
changes. There is a chance thunderstorms linger through the overnight
period into Wednesday morning given the summertime pattern, however confidence
in this remain low. Overnight lows will remain  mild in the 70s with minimum
RH values in the upper 30s and light wind speeds. Tomorrow, slightly cooler
temperatures are expected with highs in the mid 90s with minimum RH values
around 40 percent. Additional chances for thunderstorms will return
by the late afternoon near the burn site.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........29  28  33  34
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20
Temp............92  93  94  94
RH..............43  40  37  39
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........29  31  40  41  47  42  37  37  30  27  30  33
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............94  93  90  86  82  80  79  78  77  76  74  74
RH..............37  40  47  55  63  67  69  69  74  76  82  84
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   N   E   W   W   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of showers early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the east around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........38  49  35  25  21  11  11  14  16  20  25  25
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............73  72  73  77  81  84  85  87  89  91  91  91
RH..............87  90  90  79  67  61  59  55  50  44  45  44
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  12  12

$$
Forecaster...GARZA
Requested by...Seth Graham
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520245.0/LUB
.DELDT 08/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu