Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
249 FXUS64 KLUB 041736 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1136 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1134 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 - A low chance for freezing fog extreme southeastern Panhandle Friday morning. - Mild and dry weather through the forecast period. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 1134 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 The upper level short wave trough that brought snow to northern parts of the forecast area last night and this morning is now exiting to the east of the forecast area. Drier air will advect in behind the trough on zonal flow while low levels will also begin to dry out late afternoon into the evening as surface and low level winds veer toward southwest. No big changes were made to the NBM other than to insert a patchy freezing fog mention in the far northeastern corner of the forecast area while calm winds and residual surface moisture will be present near sunrise Friday. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1134 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 The long term portion of the forecast period will be quiet as the upper pattern will generally be pretty stagnant with a broad trough remaining over much of the CONUS. An increase in heights and thicknesses early in the period will see temperatures revert to near to above normal on Friday with the warm periods coming on Saturday and Tuesday and Wednesday when westerly surface winds will be dominant and cooler on Sunday behind the next cold front. NBM handles well with no changes made. Precipitation chances through the period are basically zero with the dry west to northwest flow aloft and lack of any meaningful lift through the period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Stratus lingering behind the upper level trough that brought snow to KPVW and KCDS overnight will be a bit of a pain this afternoon with breaks in IFR/MVFR ceilings that might fill back in on occasion. By sunset VFR conditions are expected and will likely continue that way. There is a small chance of a reduction in visibility due to freezing fog at KCDS around sunrise Friday. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...07