821
FXUS64 KLUB 092337
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
537 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 516 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

 - Quiet weather ahead with near to warmer than normal
   temperatures through the forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

As an upper low continues to move eastward across the Central Plains
we will see upper level ridging move overhead locally through Sunday
afternoon. Another weak surface trough will move through the area
during the overnight hours shifting light winds to the northwest and
north. This will bring even warmer temperatures for Sunday rising
above seasonal averages.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Upper ridging will dominate Monday ahead of an approaching upper
trough that will move across the Rockies Tuesday. This next upper
trough will drop a cold front southward into the FA by Wednesday
morning. Southwesterly winds ahead of the cold front will allow
highs to warm into the low/upper 70s before dropping to the 60s area
wide Wednesday. Upper flow will become southwesterly Thursday as the
upper trough quickly pushes eastward and upper ridging builds just
to our east. Southwesterly upper flow will persist into the weekend
as the FA becomes situated between an upper ridge to our east and
upper trough to our west. Though beyond the forecast period, models
are in somewhat agreement with developing a closed low at the base
of the upper trough over the Desert Southwest. While the ECMWF has
trended drier, the GFS continues to have the possibility of precip
across the region by the late weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

VFR conditions expected at KLBB, KPVW, and KCDS terminals for the
duration of the forecast.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...02