Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
254 FXUS64 KLUB 132323 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 623 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 610 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025 - Dry with temperatures gradually warming today through the end of the week. - Thunderstorm chances and slightly cooler temperatures return this weekend into early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025 Tonight and Thursday will remain quiet. The upper high currently centered over the Four Corners will migrate eastward through the overnight hours and will be centered over the West Texas region Thursday. This will keep precip chances very low and allow highs to warm into the upper 90s to around 100 Thursday afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025 The hot and dry pattern will continue into at least the early weekend as the upper high continues slowly pushing eastward. An upper trough will develop over the West Coast Thursday and will remain in place through at least Friday. This will allow for monsoonal convection across the Desert Southwest for much of the week. This activity may begin to push eastward by the weekend following the back side of the eastward moving upper high. Another more stout upper high is progged to develop over the Four Corners by early to mid next week. The FA, as the models currently stand, could still receive some rainfall next week as weaknesses move around the upper high. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 610 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025 VFR next 24 hours. Risk of a shower or thunderstorm while non- zero, is too low to mention in the TAF ATTM. Check density altitude. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...51 LONG TERM....51 AVIATION...26