Area Forecast Discussion
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Issued by NWS
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930 FXUS64 KLUB 301709 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1209 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026 - Hot and dry conditions will continue through the first week of September. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026 Quiet and warm conditions will continue to prevail the rest of today and through the day Monday. The upper high that is currently overhead will slowly push eastward tonight into Monday and will place the FA under weak south to southeasterly upper flow, generally not as favorable for precip development. Storms will continue to develop in the monsoonal flow over New Mexico, but these storms will stay well outside of the FA. Afternoon highs will be cooler by a degree or two on Monday thanks to the upper high moving east of the FA. Surface lee troughing will keep surface winds out of the south to southeast at 10-15 mph. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026 The upper high will only remain over the southeast CONUS for a short period. During this time, the FA will see slightly cooler but still warm temps with highs on Tuesday averaging in the mid 90s on the Caprock and around 100 off the Caprock. Ultimately the upper high will miss the Great Plains and will retrograde and quickly amplify across the central CONUS. This will bring afternoon highs to near 100 on the Caprock and low 100s off the Caprock by late week. This will also keep precip out of the forecast, && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026 VFR conditions will prevail. Light to moderate winds will vary between southwest to south the next 24 hours. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...51 LONG TERM....51 AVIATION...10