640
FXUS64 KLUB 060348
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1048 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1047 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

 - Shower and thunderstorm chances continue through Saturday
   evening.

 - Hot and dry conditions return Sunday into next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 1047 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

An upper low will continue to slowly track over the region
overnight. Storms should diminish in coverage and intensity, however
favorable moisture parameters including PWATs up to 1.5" off the
Caprock and at least some marginal forcing from the low will be
enough to keep them going to some capacity through the overnight
hours. Locally heavy rain/flooding may not be as widespread as
previous hours, however will remain a slight threat. Overcast skies
will persist through the day Saturday as the low continues to move
directly overhead. Greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms
will shift generally off the Caprock by the afternoon downstream of
the low center. As with previous days, steering flow will remain
weak and PWATs high, thus the localized flooding threat continues
despite the severe threat staying on the lower end. Precipitation
should taper off Saturday evening as the low departs to the
northeast. Skies will clear overnight into Sunday. Ridging will
begin to build during the day Sunday and along with southerly winds
will lead to an increase in temperatures into the mid 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1047 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

The aforementioned ridge will continue to build into early next week
leading to continued hot and dry conditions. Monday will see
widespread highs in the upper 90s. After slightly falling on Tuesday
and Wednesday, they will again increase to near triple-digits on
Thursday and remain hot through the end of the week. A broad upper
trough remains expected to move into the western US around mid-week.
However latest long-range models now indicate it as slightly farther
north and less amplified. This would mean little to no precipitation
chances for our area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are possible at all sites. MVFR CIGs
are possible at KCDS around sunrise, with lesser chances at KPVW
and KLBB. Otherwise VFR and light winds will continue.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...19