Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
820 FXUS12 KWNC 211332 POELTL TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: NOVEMBER - JANUARY 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 22.0 16.9 18.1 19.2 20.5 21.4 22.2 23.0 23.7 24.5 25.5 26.8 27.8 29.0 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 27.9 23.3 24.4 25.4 26.5 27.4 28.1 28.7 29.4 30.1 31.0 32.1 33.1 34.1 3. N NEW YORK 27.3 21.7 23.0 24.1 25.5 26.5 27.4 28.2 29.0 29.8 30.9 32.2 33.4 34.7 4. S NEW ENGLAND 33.4 28.6 29.7 30.7 31.9 32.8 33.5 34.2 34.9 35.6 36.5 37.7 38.7 39.8 5. E GRT LAKES 31.4 25.8 27.1 28.2 29.6 30.6 31.4 32.2 33.0 33.8 34.8 36.2 37.3 38.5 6. OHIO 34.4 29.1 30.3 31.4 32.7 33.6 34.4 35.1 35.9 36.7 37.6 38.9 40.0 41.2 7. MID-ATL COAST 38.6 34.0 35.0 35.9 37.1 37.9 38.6 39.2 39.9 40.6 41.4 42.6 43.5 44.6 8. N APPALACHNS 33.1 28.2 29.3 30.3 31.5 32.4 33.1 33.8 34.5 35.3 36.2 37.4 38.4 39.5 9. CENT APPALACHNS 36.8 32.0 33.1 34.1 35.2 36.0 36.8 37.4 38.1 38.8 39.7 40.8 41.8 42.8 10. COASTL VIRG 43.4 39.0 40.0 40.9 41.9 42.7 43.3 43.9 44.5 45.2 45.9 47.0 47.8 48.8 11. S APPALACHNS 40.4 35.8 36.9 37.7 38.8 39.6 40.3 40.9 41.5 42.2 43.0 44.0 44.9 45.9 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 49.4 44.9 45.8 46.7 47.7 48.5 49.1 49.7 50.3 51.0 51.7 52.8 53.6 54.6 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 45.8 41.5 42.5 43.3 44.3 45.0 45.7 46.2 46.8 47.5 48.2 49.2 50.0 51.0 14. UPPER MICH 23.8 17.1 18.5 19.8 21.3 22.4 23.3 24.1 25.0 25.9 27.0 28.5 29.8 31.1 15. N MINN 16.4 7.1 8.9 10.6 12.6 14.0 15.2 16.4 17.5 18.8 20.2 22.2 23.8 25.7 16. E NORTH DAK 16.6 7.0 8.9 10.6 12.7 14.2 15.4 16.6 17.8 19.1 20.6 22.7 24.4 26.3 17. W NORTH DAK 19.5 10.6 12.4 13.9 15.9 17.3 18.5 19.5 20.7 21.9 23.3 25.2 26.8 28.6 18. E MONT 22.1 14.0 15.6 17.1 18.8 20.1 21.1 22.1 23.2 24.2 25.5 27.2 28.7 30.3 19. N-CENT MONT 24.0 15.9 17.5 18.9 20.7 21.9 23.0 24.0 25.0 26.0 27.3 29.0 30.4 32.0 20. S-CENT MONT 27.4 21.4 22.6 23.7 25.0 25.9 26.7 27.4 28.2 29.0 29.9 31.2 32.2 33.4 21. W MONT 25.9 21.6 22.5 23.2 24.2 24.8 25.4 25.9 26.5 27.0 27.7 28.6 29.4 30.2 22. N-CENT MICH 29.2 23.6 24.8 25.9 27.3 28.3 29.1 29.9 30.7 31.5 32.5 33.8 34.9 36.2 23. S MICH 31.6 25.9 27.1 28.3 29.7 30.7 31.5 32.3 33.1 34.0 35.0 36.4 37.5 38.8 24. E-CENT ILL 33.2 27.8 29.1 30.2 31.5 32.5 33.3 34.1 34.8 35.7 36.6 38.0 39.1 40.3 25. N ILL 28.4 22.2 23.5 24.8 26.3 27.4 28.3 29.1 30.0 30.9 32.0 33.5 34.7 36.1 26. N WISC 22.1 14.7 16.3 17.6 19.3 20.5 21.5 22.5 23.5 24.5 25.7 27.3 28.7 30.2 27. SE MINN 21.8 13.9 15.5 17.0 18.7 19.9 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 25.3 27.0 28.5 30.1 28. E SOUTH DAK 21.0 12.7 14.4 15.9 17.7 19.0 20.1 21.1 22.2 23.3 24.6 26.4 27.9 29.6 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 24.4 16.5 18.0 19.4 21.1 22.4 23.4 24.4 25.4 26.5 27.7 29.4 30.8 32.4 30. W SOUTH DAK 26.4 18.8 20.3 21.6 23.3 24.4 25.4 26.4 27.3 28.3 29.5 31.1 32.4 33.9 31. NE WYOMING 26.6 20.8 22.0 23.0 24.2 25.2 25.9 26.6 27.4 28.1 29.0 30.3 31.3 32.5 32. NW WYOMING 23.6 18.9 19.8 20.7 21.7 22.4 23.1 23.6 24.2 24.9 25.6 26.6 27.5 28.4 33. E IOWA 27.4 21.0 22.4 23.7 25.1 26.2 27.2 28.0 28.9 29.8 30.9 32.4 33.6 35.0 34. NW IOWA 26.0 19.8 21.1 22.3 23.7 24.8 25.6 26.4 27.3 28.2 29.2 30.6 31.8 33.1 35. CENT NEBRASKA 29.7 24.6 25.7 26.6 27.8 28.6 29.3 30.0 30.7 31.4 32.2 33.4 34.3 35.4 36. S NEBRASKA 30.4 25.2 26.4 27.4 28.6 29.5 30.2 30.9 31.6 32.3 33.2 34.4 35.4 36.5 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 29.9 25.9 26.7 27.5 28.4 29.0 29.5 30.0 30.6 31.1 31.8 32.6 33.4 34.2 38. E KENTUCKY 38.5 34.0 35.0 35.9 37.1 37.9 38.5 39.2 39.8 40.5 41.3 42.5 43.4 44.4 39. W KENTUCKY 39.2 34.7 35.7 36.6 37.8 38.6 39.3 40.0 40.6 41.3 42.2 43.3 44.2 45.3 40. SE MISSOURI 38.8 34.2 35.3 36.2 37.4 38.2 38.9 39.5 40.2 40.9 41.7 42.8 43.8 44.8 41. NE MISSOURI 34.4 29.5 30.6 31.6 32.9 33.8 34.5 35.2 36.0 36.7 37.6 38.8 39.8 41.0 42. NW MISSOURI 35.1 30.4 31.5 32.4 33.6 34.5 35.2 35.9 36.6 37.3 38.2 39.3 40.3 41.4 43. E KANSAS 37.8 33.7 34.6 35.5 36.5 37.3 38.0 38.6 39.2 39.8 40.6 41.7 42.5 43.5 44. CENT KANSAS 35.8 31.8 32.7 33.5 34.5 35.2 35.8 36.4 37.0 37.6 38.3 39.3 40.2 41.1 45. W KANSAS 36.0 32.3 33.2 33.9 34.8 35.5 36.1 36.6 37.2 37.7 38.4 39.3 40.1 40.9 46. NE COLO 31.1 27.4 28.2 28.9 29.8 30.4 30.9 31.4 32.0 32.5 33.1 34.0 34.7 35.5 47. SE COLO 32.3 29.0 29.8 30.4 31.2 31.8 32.3 32.8 33.2 33.8 34.3 35.1 35.8 36.5 48. W COLO 26.1 22.4 23.2 23.9 24.8 25.4 26.0 26.5 27.0 27.5 28.1 29.0 29.7 30.5 49. SW WYOMING 22.3 16.9 18.0 18.9 20.1 21.0 21.7 22.3 23.0 23.8 24.6 25.8 26.7 27.8 50. CENT TENN 42.6 38.1 39.1 40.0 41.1 41.9 42.6 43.2 43.9 44.5 45.3 46.5 47.3 48.4 51. W TENN 44.3 40.4 41.3 42.1 43.1 43.9 44.5 45.0 45.6 46.2 47.0 48.0 48.8 49.7 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 42.0 38.2 39.1 39.9 40.9 41.6 42.2 42.7 43.3 43.9 44.6 45.6 46.4 47.3 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 42.6 39.3 40.1 40.8 41.7 42.3 42.9 43.4 43.9 44.4 45.0 45.9 46.6 47.4 54. TX W OF ABILENE 46.0 43.2 43.9 44.6 45.3 45.9 46.4 46.8 47.3 47.8 48.4 49.2 49.8 50.5 55. N HI PLAINS TX 42.2 39.5 40.2 40.9 41.7 42.2 42.7 43.1 43.6 44.1 44.6 45.4 46.0 46.8 56. N GEORGIA 48.1 43.9 44.8 45.7 46.7 47.4 48.0 48.6 49.2 49.8 50.5 51.5 52.3 53.3 57. N ALABAMA 47.7 43.6 44.5 45.3 46.3 47.0 47.7 48.2 48.8 49.5 50.2 51.2 52.0 52.9 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 49.8 46.1 47.0 47.7 48.7 49.4 50.0 50.5 51.1 51.7 52.3 53.3 54.1 55.0 59. S ARKANSAS 48.0 44.6 45.4 46.1 47.0 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.3 49.8 50.5 51.3 52.1 52.9 60. E TX 51.0 47.8 48.6 49.3 50.1 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.3 52.9 53.5 54.4 55.1 55.9 61. DALLAS REG TX 49.6 46.5 47.3 48.0 48.9 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.0 51.5 52.2 53.0 53.7 54.5 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 56.6 53.9 54.6 55.3 56.1 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.2 60.1 60.7 61.5 63. FAR S TX 59.5 57.0 57.7 58.4 59.2 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.2 63.0 63.7 64.4 64. W-CENT TX 51.1 48.7 49.4 50.0 50.7 51.3 51.7 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.6 54.3 54.9 55.6 65. W TX PANHANDLE 49.3 47.2 47.8 48.3 49.0 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.6 52.2 52.8 53.4 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 55.1 50.8 51.8 52.6 53.6 54.3 54.9 55.5 56.1 56.7 57.5 58.5 59.3 60.2 67. CENT FLA 63.8 59.8 60.6 61.4 62.3 63.0 63.5 64.1 64.6 65.2 65.8 66.8 67.5 68.4 68. S FLA 68.1 64.4 65.2 65.9 66.7 67.3 67.8 68.3 68.8 69.3 69.9 70.7 71.4 72.2 69. FLA PANHANDLE 53.2 49.1 50.0 50.8 51.8 52.6 53.2 53.8 54.4 55.0 55.7 56.7 57.5 58.5 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 54.9 51.2 52.0 52.8 53.8 54.4 55.0 55.5 56.1 56.7 57.4 58.3 59.1 59.9 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 55.9 52.6 53.5 54.2 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.3 57.8 58.4 59.3 60.0 60.8 72. NW WASH 30.1 25.8 26.7 27.4 28.4 29.0 29.6 30.1 30.6 31.2 31.9 32.8 33.6 34.4 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 32.4 28.6 29.4 30.0 30.8 31.4 31.9 32.4 32.9 33.4 34.0 34.8 35.5 36.2 74. CENT WASH 34.0 30.0 30.8 31.5 32.4 33.0 33.5 34.0 34.5 35.0 35.6 36.5 37.2 38.0 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 38.7 35.9 36.5 37.0 37.6 38.0 38.4 38.7 39.1 39.5 39.9 40.5 41.0 41.6 76. COASTL WASH 42.2 39.4 40.0 40.4 41.0 41.5 41.8 42.2 42.5 42.9 43.3 43.9 44.4 44.9 77. E IDAHO 26.6 22.0 22.9 23.7 24.7 25.4 26.0 26.6 27.1 27.7 28.4 29.4 30.2 31.1 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 26.6 22.8 23.5 24.2 25.0 25.6 26.1 26.6 27.1 27.6 28.2 29.0 29.7 30.4 79. SW IDAHO 32.5 28.4 29.3 30.0 30.9 31.5 32.0 32.5 33.1 33.6 34.2 35.1 35.8 36.7 80. E OREG 33.2 29.3 30.1 30.8 31.6 32.2 32.8 33.2 33.8 34.3 34.9 35.7 36.4 37.2 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 41.3 38.6 39.2 39.7 40.2 40.7 41.0 41.3 41.7 42.0 42.5 43.0 43.5 44.1 82. OREG COAST 45.5 42.7 43.3 43.8 44.4 44.8 45.2 45.5 45.9 46.2 46.7 47.3 47.8 48.3 83. NE UTAH 28.1 23.6 24.6 25.4 26.4 27.1 27.7 28.2 28.8 29.4 30.1 31.1 31.9 32.8 84. SE UTAH 33.3 29.2 30.1 30.9 31.9 32.5 33.1 33.7 34.2 34.8 35.5 36.5 37.2 38.1 85. W UTAH 31.0 26.1 27.1 28.0 29.1 29.9 30.5 31.1 31.8 32.5 33.3 34.3 35.2 36.2 86. NE NEVADA 29.3 24.4 25.4 26.2 27.3 28.1 28.7 29.4 30.0 30.6 31.4 32.5 33.3 34.3 87. NW NEVADA 34.2 29.6 30.5 31.3 32.3 33.0 33.6 34.2 34.8 35.4 36.1 37.1 37.9 38.8 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 44.0 40.4 41.2 41.8 42.5 43.1 43.6 44.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 46.3 46.9 47.6 89. N CALIF COAST 46.2 43.1 43.7 44.2 44.9 45.4 45.8 46.2 46.5 47.0 47.4 48.1 48.6 49.2 90. CENT NEVADA 35.1 31.1 32.0 32.7 33.6 34.3 34.8 35.3 35.9 36.4 37.1 38.0 38.7 39.5 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 47.6 44.4 45.1 45.7 46.4 46.9 47.3 47.8 48.2 48.6 49.2 49.9 50.5 51.1 92. CENT CALIF COAST 51.6 48.7 49.3 49.8 50.5 51.0 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.1 54.7 93. S CALIF COAST 55.1 52.3 53.0 53.5 54.2 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.4 57.9 58.6 94. SE CALIF 50.8 47.6 48.3 49.0 49.8 50.3 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.2 52.8 53.6 54.2 55.0 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 48.9 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.7 51.4 52.0 52.6 96. SW ARIZONA 53.3 51.0 51.6 52.2 52.8 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.4 56.0 56.6 57.2 97. NE ARIZONA 36.3 33.5 34.2 34.8 35.5 36.0 36.5 36.9 37.3 37.8 38.3 39.0 39.6 40.3 98. SE ARIZONA 49.8 47.7 48.3 48.8 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.2 53.8 99. N NEW MEX 30.2 26.7 27.6 28.3 29.2 29.9 30.5 31.0 31.5 32.1 32.8 33.7 34.5 35.3 100. E NEW MEX 41.9 39.4 40.1 40.7 41.5 42.0 42.5 42.9 43.3 43.8 44.3 45.1 45.7 46.4 101. CENT NEW MEX 36.9 34.6 35.2 35.8 36.5 37.0 37.4 37.8 38.2 38.6 39.1 39.8 40.4 41.0 102. S NEW MEX 44.1 42.2 42.8 43.3 43.9 44.3 44.7 45.1 45.4 45.8 46.2 46.8 47.3 47.9 $$ $$