Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
828 FXUS11 KWNC 211332 POELTK TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: OCTOBER - DECEMBER 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 32.2 29.0 29.8 30.5 31.5 32.1 32.7 33.2 33.7 34.3 35.0 35.9 36.6 37.5 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 37.1 34.5 35.2 35.8 36.6 37.1 37.6 38.0 38.5 38.9 39.5 40.2 40.9 41.6 3. N NEW YORK 36.6 33.0 33.9 34.6 35.5 36.2 36.8 37.3 37.9 38.4 39.1 40.0 40.8 41.7 4. S NEW ENGLAND 41.8 38.7 39.5 40.1 41.0 41.6 42.1 42.5 43.0 43.5 44.2 45.0 45.7 46.4 5. E GRT LAKES 39.9 36.4 37.2 37.9 38.8 39.5 40.0 40.5 41.1 41.6 42.3 43.2 43.9 44.7 6. OHIO 43.0 39.2 40.0 40.8 41.7 42.4 42.9 43.4 44.0 44.5 45.2 46.1 46.9 47.7 7. MID-ATL COAST 46.4 43.4 44.1 44.8 45.5 46.0 46.5 46.9 47.4 47.8 48.4 49.2 49.8 50.5 8. N APPALACHNS 41.1 38.0 38.7 39.4 40.2 40.8 41.2 41.7 42.2 42.7 43.2 44.0 44.7 45.4 9. CENT APPALACHNS 44.3 40.8 41.5 42.2 43.1 43.7 44.2 44.7 45.2 45.7 46.3 47.1 47.8 48.6 10. COASTL VIRG 50.4 47.2 47.9 48.5 49.3 49.9 50.4 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.3 53.1 53.8 54.5 11. S APPALACHNS 47.2 43.7 44.5 45.2 46.0 46.6 47.1 47.6 48.1 48.6 49.2 50.1 50.8 51.5 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 55.7 52.2 52.9 53.6 54.4 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.6 58.4 59.1 59.9 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 52.3 48.9 49.6 50.3 51.1 51.7 52.2 52.7 53.1 53.6 54.2 55.0 55.7 56.5 14. UPPER MICH 33.6 28.9 29.9 30.8 31.9 32.7 33.3 33.9 34.6 35.2 36.0 37.1 38.0 39.0 15. N MINN 28.2 21.5 22.9 24.0 25.5 26.5 27.4 28.2 29.0 29.9 30.9 32.4 33.5 34.8 16. E NORTH DAK 28.3 21.4 22.7 24.0 25.5 26.5 27.5 28.3 29.2 30.1 31.2 32.7 33.9 35.3 17. W NORTH DAK 29.6 23.2 24.5 25.6 27.0 28.0 28.8 29.6 30.4 31.2 32.2 33.6 34.7 36.0 18. E MONT 31.4 25.5 26.7 27.7 29.0 29.9 30.7 31.4 32.2 33.0 33.9 35.2 36.2 37.4 19. N-CENT MONT 31.9 26.1 27.2 28.2 29.5 30.4 31.2 31.9 32.6 33.4 34.3 35.6 36.6 37.8 20. S-CENT MONT 34.1 29.5 30.5 31.3 32.3 33.1 33.7 34.3 34.9 35.6 36.3 37.3 38.2 39.2 21. W MONT 32.3 29.1 29.7 30.3 31.0 31.5 32.0 32.4 32.8 33.2 33.7 34.4 35.0 35.7 22. N-CENT MICH 38.2 34.3 35.2 36.0 36.9 37.6 38.2 38.7 39.2 39.8 40.5 41.5 42.2 43.1 23. S MICH 40.7 36.8 37.7 38.5 39.4 40.1 40.7 41.2 41.7 42.3 43.0 43.9 44.7 45.5 24. E-CENT ILL 42.5 38.4 39.3 40.2 41.1 41.8 42.4 43.0 43.6 44.2 44.9 45.9 46.7 47.6 25. N ILL 38.4 34.0 35.0 35.8 36.9 37.7 38.3 38.9 39.6 40.2 41.0 42.0 42.9 43.9 26. N WISC 32.7 27.5 28.7 29.6 30.8 31.7 32.4 33.1 33.8 34.5 35.4 36.6 37.6 38.7 27. SE MINN 33.0 27.3 28.5 29.5 30.8 31.8 32.5 33.3 34.0 34.8 35.8 37.0 38.1 39.3 28. E SOUTH DAK 32.2 26.3 27.5 28.6 30.0 31.0 31.8 32.5 33.3 34.2 35.2 36.5 37.6 38.9 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 34.1 28.9 30.0 31.1 32.3 33.2 34.0 34.7 35.4 36.2 37.1 38.4 39.4 40.5 30. W SOUTH DAK 34.6 29.6 30.7 31.7 32.9 33.8 34.5 35.2 35.8 36.6 37.4 38.6 39.6 40.7 31. NE WYOMING 33.7 29.8 30.7 31.5 32.5 33.2 33.8 34.3 34.9 35.5 36.2 37.2 38.0 38.9 32. NW WYOMING 31.1 27.7 28.5 29.2 30.1 30.7 31.3 31.8 32.3 32.8 33.4 34.3 35.0 35.8 33. E IOWA 37.7 33.1 34.1 35.0 36.2 37.0 37.7 38.3 39.0 39.7 40.5 41.6 42.5 43.6 34. NW IOWA 36.3 31.5 32.5 33.5 34.7 35.5 36.2 36.9 37.6 38.3 39.2 40.3 41.3 42.4 35. CENT NEBRASKA 37.9 33.6 34.6 35.5 36.6 37.3 38.0 38.6 39.2 39.8 40.6 41.7 42.5 43.5 36. S NEBRASKA 39.6 35.4 36.4 37.2 38.3 39.0 39.7 40.2 40.9 41.5 42.3 43.3 44.2 45.1 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 36.5 33.5 34.2 34.9 35.7 36.3 36.8 37.2 37.7 38.2 38.8 39.6 40.2 41.0 38. E KENTUCKY 46.2 42.5 43.3 44.1 44.9 45.6 46.1 46.6 47.1 47.7 48.3 49.2 49.9 50.7 39. W KENTUCKY 47.3 43.6 44.4 45.1 46.0 46.7 47.2 47.7 48.2 48.8 49.4 50.3 51.0 51.8 40. SE MISSOURI 46.9 43.5 44.2 44.9 45.7 46.3 46.9 47.3 47.8 48.3 48.9 49.8 50.5 51.2 41. NE MISSOURI 43.7 39.9 40.7 41.5 42.4 43.1 43.7 44.2 44.8 45.3 46.0 47.0 47.7 48.6 42. NW MISSOURI 44.1 40.5 41.3 42.1 43.0 43.6 44.2 44.7 45.3 45.8 46.5 47.4 48.1 49.0 43. E KANSAS 46.3 43.0 43.8 44.6 45.4 46.0 46.6 47.1 47.6 48.1 48.7 49.6 50.3 51.1 44. CENT KANSAS 44.3 41.0 41.8 42.5 43.4 44.0 44.5 45.0 45.6 46.1 46.7 47.6 48.3 49.1 45. W KANSAS 43.6 40.9 41.6 42.2 43.0 43.5 44.0 44.4 44.9 45.4 45.9 46.7 47.3 48.0 46. NE COLO 37.5 34.6 35.4 36.1 36.9 37.5 38.0 38.4 38.9 39.4 40.0 40.8 41.5 42.2 47. SE COLO 38.9 36.3 37.0 37.7 38.5 39.0 39.5 39.9 40.4 40.9 41.4 42.2 42.9 43.6 48. W COLO 34.0 31.5 32.3 32.9 33.7 34.3 34.8 35.2 35.7 36.2 36.7 37.5 38.2 38.9 49. SW WYOMING 30.0 26.9 27.7 28.4 29.3 29.9 30.5 30.9 31.5 32.0 32.6 33.5 34.2 35.0 50. CENT TENN 49.7 46.2 46.9 47.6 48.5 49.0 49.6 50.0 50.5 51.0 51.6 52.5 53.2 53.9 51. W TENN 51.6 48.5 49.2 49.8 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.5 54.2 54.8 55.5 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 49.5 46.2 47.0 47.7 48.5 49.1 49.6 50.1 50.6 51.1 51.7 52.6 53.3 54.0 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 50.3 47.4 48.1 48.8 49.5 50.1 50.6 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.4 54.0 54.8 54. TX W OF ABILENE 53.1 50.4 51.1 51.7 52.5 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.4 54.9 55.5 56.2 56.9 57.6 55. N HI PLAINS TX 49.1 46.5 47.2 47.9 48.6 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.5 50.9 51.5 52.2 52.8 53.5 56. N GEORGIA 54.4 50.8 51.6 52.3 53.1 53.7 54.2 54.7 55.2 55.7 56.3 57.2 57.9 58.7 57. N ALABAMA 54.2 50.6 51.4 52.1 52.9 53.5 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.5 56.1 57.0 57.7 58.4 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 56.2 52.9 53.7 54.3 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.1 57.6 58.2 59.0 59.7 60.4 59. S ARKANSAS 54.7 51.6 52.3 53.0 53.7 54.3 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.1 56.7 57.4 58.1 58.8 60. E TX 57.4 54.7 55.4 56.0 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.2 60.8 61.5 61. DALLAS REG TX 56.5 53.9 54.5 55.2 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.5 60.0 60.7 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 62.7 60.5 61.1 61.6 62.3 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.5 66.1 66.7 63. FAR S TX 65.5 63.3 63.9 64.5 65.1 65.6 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.6 68.2 68.8 69.3 64. W-CENT TX 57.6 55.5 56.1 56.6 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.7 60.3 60.8 61.4 65. W TX PANHANDLE 55.8 53.7 54.3 54.9 55.5 56.0 56.4 56.7 57.1 57.5 58.0 58.6 59.2 59.8 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 61.0 57.7 58.5 59.1 59.9 60.5 61.0 61.5 61.9 62.4 63.0 63.8 64.5 65.2 67. CENT FLA 68.8 65.4 66.2 66.9 67.7 68.3 68.8 69.3 69.8 70.3 70.9 71.8 72.4 73.2 68. S FLA 72.4 69.6 70.2 70.8 71.5 72.1 72.5 72.9 73.3 73.8 74.3 75.0 75.6 76.3 69. FLA PANHANDLE 59.2 56.1 56.8 57.4 58.2 58.8 59.2 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.2 61.9 62.6 63.3 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 60.8 58.1 58.8 59.3 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.7 63.4 64.0 64.6 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 61.8 59.3 59.9 60.5 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.8 64.5 65.1 65.7 72. NW WASH 36.3 33.0 33.6 34.2 34.9 35.4 35.9 36.3 36.7 37.1 37.7 38.4 39.0 39.6 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 38.0 35.3 35.8 36.4 37.0 37.4 37.8 38.2 38.5 38.9 39.4 40.0 40.5 41.1 74. CENT WASH 39.9 37.0 37.6 38.1 38.7 39.2 39.6 39.9 40.3 40.7 41.1 41.7 42.2 42.8 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 42.7 40.4 40.9 41.3 41.8 42.1 42.4 42.7 43.0 43.2 43.6 44.1 44.5 44.9 76. COASTL WASH 45.4 43.1 43.5 44.0 44.5 44.8 45.1 45.4 45.7 46.0 46.4 46.9 47.3 47.8 77. E IDAHO 34.1 31.4 32.1 32.7 33.4 34.0 34.4 34.8 35.3 35.7 36.2 37.0 37.6 38.2 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 33.3 30.9 31.4 31.9 32.5 32.9 33.3 33.6 34.0 34.3 34.7 35.3 35.8 36.4 79. SW IDAHO 39.2 36.6 37.2 37.8 38.4 38.9 39.3 39.7 40.0 40.5 40.9 41.6 42.1 42.7 80. E OREG 38.5 36.0 36.5 37.0 37.6 38.1 38.4 38.8 39.1 39.5 39.9 40.5 41.0 41.6 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 45.6 43.3 43.7 44.2 44.7 45.0 45.4 45.7 46.0 46.3 46.6 47.2 47.6 48.0 82. OREG COAST 48.5 46.4 46.8 47.2 47.7 48.0 48.3 48.6 48.8 49.1 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.8 83. NE UTAH 35.7 33.3 34.0 34.6 35.4 35.9 36.4 36.8 37.3 37.7 38.3 39.0 39.6 40.3 84. SE UTAH 41.1 38.6 39.3 40.0 40.8 41.3 41.8 42.3 42.7 43.2 43.8 44.6 45.2 45.9 85. W UTAH 38.4 35.7 36.5 37.2 38.0 38.6 39.1 39.6 40.1 40.6 41.2 42.1 42.7 43.5 86. NE NEVADA 35.9 33.5 34.2 34.8 35.5 36.0 36.5 36.9 37.4 37.8 38.3 39.1 39.7 40.4 87. NW NEVADA 40.2 37.6 38.3 38.9 39.6 40.1 40.5 41.0 41.4 41.8 42.3 43.1 43.6 44.3 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 49.4 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.5 49.0 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.2 51.9 52.5 53.2 89. N CALIF COAST 50.5 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.7 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.3 52.8 53.3 90. CENT NEVADA 41.6 39.4 40.1 40.6 41.3 41.8 42.2 42.6 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.6 45.1 45.7 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 53.4 50.5 51.2 51.8 52.5 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.4 54.9 55.4 56.2 56.8 57.5 92. CENT CALIF COAST 55.5 52.9 53.5 54.0 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.7 58.3 58.8 93. S CALIF COAST 58.9 56.5 57.1 57.6 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.3 61.8 62.4 94. SE CALIF 57.2 54.5 55.2 55.8 56.6 57.1 57.6 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.3 60.9 61.6 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 55.6 53.4 54.1 54.6 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.5 59.1 59.7 96. SW ARIZONA 59.8 57.5 58.1 58.7 59.4 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.8 63.4 64.0 97. NE ARIZONA 42.8 40.6 41.3 41.9 42.6 43.1 43.5 43.9 44.4 44.8 45.3 46.0 46.6 47.3 98. SE ARIZONA 55.9 53.4 54.1 54.7 55.5 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.3 59.0 59.6 60.3 99. N NEW MEX 37.3 34.8 35.6 36.2 37.0 37.6 38.1 38.5 39.0 39.5 40.0 40.8 41.5 42.2 100. E NEW MEX 48.5 46.0 46.7 47.3 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.5 50.0 50.4 51.0 51.7 52.3 53.0 101. CENT NEW MEX 43.2 40.9 41.6 42.2 42.9 43.5 43.9 44.3 44.8 45.2 45.8 46.5 47.1 47.8 102. S NEW MEX 50.6 48.5 49.1 49.7 50.4 50.8 51.3 51.7 52.0 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.2 54.8 $$ $$