Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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830 FXUS09 KWNC 211332 POELTI TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: AUGUST - OCTOBER 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 54.3 52.4 52.9 53.4 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.3 57.9 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 57.9 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.5 61.0 61.6 3. N NEW YORK 57.6 55.5 56.1 56.5 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.4 59.9 60.4 61.0 4. S NEW ENGLAND 61.6 59.5 60.1 60.6 61.2 61.7 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.1 63.6 64.2 64.7 65.3 5. E GRT LAKES 59.8 57.2 57.8 58.4 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.6 62.3 62.9 63.5 6. OHIO 63.5 60.4 61.1 61.7 62.4 62.9 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.7 65.2 65.9 66.5 67.2 7. MID-ATL COAST 65.9 63.4 64.0 64.6 65.2 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.8 67.2 67.7 68.4 68.9 69.5 8. N APPALACHNS 61.0 58.5 59.1 59.6 60.2 60.7 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.2 63.8 64.3 9. CENT APPALACHNS 63.4 60.4 61.1 61.7 62.4 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.1 65.8 66.3 67.0 10. COASTL VIRG 68.8 65.9 66.6 67.1 67.8 68.3 68.7 69.1 69.5 70.0 70.5 71.2 71.7 72.4 11. S APPALACHNS 65.5 62.5 63.2 63.7 64.4 64.9 65.3 65.7 66.2 66.6 67.1 67.8 68.3 69.0 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 72.5 70.0 70.6 71.1 71.7 72.2 72.6 72.9 73.3 73.7 74.2 74.8 75.3 75.9 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 70.5 67.2 68.0 68.6 69.3 69.9 70.3 70.8 71.2 71.7 72.2 73.0 73.6 74.3 14. UPPER MICH 56.1 53.5 54.1 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.3 58.8 59.4 15. N MINN 54.7 51.8 52.4 52.9 53.6 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.1 56.8 57.3 57.9 16. E NORTH DAK 56.0 52.6 53.3 53.9 54.6 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.5 58.2 58.8 59.5 17. W NORTH DAK 56.1 52.8 53.5 54.1 54.8 55.4 55.8 56.3 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.5 59.1 59.8 18. E MONT 57.3 54.0 54.7 55.3 56.1 56.7 57.1 57.5 58.0 58.4 59.0 59.7 60.3 61.0 19. N-CENT MONT 55.2 52.0 52.7 53.3 54.0 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.9 56.3 56.9 57.6 58.2 58.9 20. S-CENT MONT 55.8 52.8 53.5 54.1 54.8 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 57.0 57.5 58.2 58.7 59.4 21. W MONT 53.7 51.4 51.9 52.4 53.0 53.4 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.7 22. N-CENT MICH 59.2 56.4 57.0 57.5 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.5 62.0 62.7 23. S MICH 62.0 59.0 59.7 60.2 60.9 61.4 61.9 62.2 62.7 63.1 63.6 64.3 64.8 65.5 24. E-CENT ILL 64.3 60.9 61.6 62.2 63.0 63.5 64.0 64.4 64.9 65.3 65.9 66.7 67.3 68.0 25. N ILL 61.4 58.4 59.0 59.6 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.5 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.5 64.1 64.8 26. N WISC 57.0 54.2 54.8 55.3 56.0 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.5 59.1 59.6 60.2 27. SE MINN 58.7 55.8 56.4 56.9 57.6 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.1 60.8 61.3 61.9 28. E SOUTH DAK 58.6 55.6 56.2 56.8 57.4 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.7 61.2 61.8 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 60.2 56.7 57.4 58.0 58.8 59.4 59.8 60.3 60.7 61.2 61.8 62.5 63.1 63.9 30. W SOUTH DAK 59.4 55.8 56.6 57.2 58.0 58.6 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.1 61.9 62.6 63.3 31. NE WYOMING 57.4 54.2 54.9 55.5 56.2 56.8 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.6 59.1 59.9 60.5 61.2 32. NW WYOMING 54.4 51.7 52.3 52.8 53.5 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 56.0 56.7 57.2 57.8 33. E IOWA 61.7 58.7 59.3 59.8 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.1 63.8 64.3 64.9 34. NW IOWA 61.4 58.3 58.9 59.5 60.2 60.7 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.8 63.4 64.0 64.6 35. CENT NEBRASKA 61.7 57.9 58.7 59.3 60.1 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.2 64.0 64.7 65.4 36. S NEBRASKA 63.4 59.7 60.5 61.1 61.9 62.5 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.4 65.0 65.8 66.4 67.1 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 59.0 55.8 56.5 57.0 57.8 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.2 61.8 62.5 38. E KENTUCKY 65.9 62.7 63.4 64.0 64.8 65.3 65.8 66.2 66.6 67.1 67.6 68.4 69.0 69.7 39. W KENTUCKY 67.8 64.4 65.1 65.8 66.5 67.1 67.5 68.0 68.4 68.9 69.4 70.2 70.8 71.5 40. SE MISSOURI 67.7 64.2 64.9 65.5 66.2 66.8 67.2 67.7 68.1 68.6 69.1 69.9 70.5 71.2 41. NE MISSOURI 65.7 62.4 63.1 63.7 64.4 64.9 65.4 65.8 66.2 66.6 67.1 67.8 68.4 69.1 42. NW MISSOURI 66.3 62.6 63.3 64.0 64.8 65.3 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.2 67.8 68.6 69.2 69.9 43. E KANSAS 68.5 64.7 65.4 66.1 66.9 67.5 68.0 68.5 69.0 69.5 70.1 70.9 71.6 72.4 44. CENT KANSAS 67.7 63.7 64.5 65.2 66.1 66.7 67.2 67.7 68.2 68.8 69.4 70.3 71.0 71.8 45. W KANSAS 66.5 62.6 63.4 64.1 64.9 65.5 66.0 66.5 67.0 67.5 68.1 68.9 69.6 70.3 46. NE COLO 58.4 55.4 56.0 56.6 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.7 61.2 61.9 47. SE COLO 60.1 57.2 57.8 58.4 59.0 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.6 62.2 62.8 63.4 48. W COLO 56.1 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.4 58.9 59.4 49. SW WYOMING 52.8 50.5 51.0 51.5 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.9 55.4 55.9 50. CENT TENN 68.8 65.4 66.1 66.8 67.5 68.1 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.9 70.5 71.2 71.9 72.6 51. W TENN 71.2 68.0 68.7 69.2 69.9 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.7 72.2 72.7 73.4 74.0 74.7 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 69.7 66.1 66.8 67.4 68.2 68.8 69.3 69.7 70.2 70.7 71.2 72.0 72.6 73.4 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 71.9 68.1 68.9 69.5 70.3 70.9 71.4 71.9 72.3 72.8 73.4 74.2 74.9 75.6 54. TX W OF ABILENE 73.5 70.3 71.0 71.6 72.3 72.8 73.2 73.7 74.1 74.5 75.1 75.8 76.4 77.0 55. N HI PLAINS TX 69.3 66.4 67.0 67.6 68.2 68.7 69.1 69.5 69.8 70.2 70.7 71.4 71.9 72.5 56. N GEORGIA 71.7 68.9 69.5 70.1 70.7 71.2 71.7 72.1 72.5 72.9 73.4 74.1 74.6 75.3 57. N ALABAMA 72.2 69.2 69.8 70.5 71.2 71.8 72.2 72.6 73.1 73.5 74.1 74.8 75.4 76.1 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 73.9 71.1 71.8 72.3 73.0 73.5 73.9 74.2 74.7 75.1 75.5 76.2 76.8 77.4 59. S ARKANSAS 73.5 70.5 71.1 71.7 72.4 72.9 73.3 73.7 74.1 74.5 75.0 75.7 76.3 76.9 60. E TX 75.6 72.8 73.4 73.9 74.6 75.1 75.4 75.8 76.2 76.6 77.1 77.8 78.3 78.9 61. DALLAS REG TX 75.8 72.8 73.5 74.1 74.7 75.2 75.7 76.1 76.5 76.9 77.4 78.1 78.7 79.3 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 78.7 76.8 77.2 77.6 78.1 78.4 78.7 79.0 79.3 79.6 79.9 80.4 80.8 81.2 63. FAR S TX 80.7 78.9 79.3 79.7 80.1 80.4 80.7 81.0 81.2 81.5 81.8 82.3 82.6 83.1 64. W-CENT TX 75.5 73.7 74.1 74.5 74.9 75.3 75.6 75.8 76.1 76.4 76.7 77.2 77.5 78.0 65. W TX PANHANDLE 73.8 71.5 72.1 72.6 73.2 73.6 73.9 74.3 74.6 75.0 75.4 76.0 76.5 77.1 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 75.8 73.9 74.4 74.9 75.4 75.8 76.1 76.4 76.7 77.1 77.4 78.0 78.4 78.9 67. CENT FLA 79.4 78.0 78.4 78.8 79.2 79.5 79.8 80.0 80.2 80.5 80.8 81.2 81.6 82.0 68. S FLA 80.9 79.9 80.2 80.4 80.8 81.0 81.2 81.3 81.5 81.7 81.9 82.2 82.5 82.8 69. FLA PANHANDLE 75.1 73.0 73.6 74.0 74.6 75.0 75.4 75.7 76.0 76.4 76.8 77.4 77.8 78.4 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 76.7 74.8 75.2 75.6 76.1 76.4 76.7 77.0 77.3 77.6 77.9 78.4 78.8 79.2 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 77.5 75.6 76.0 76.4 76.9 77.2 77.5 77.8 78.1 78.3 78.7 79.2 79.5 80.0 72. NW WASH 57.8 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.4 59.9 60.3 60.8 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 57.9 56.1 56.6 57.1 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.4 60.9 61.4 74. CENT WASH 60.4 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.2 60.5 60.9 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.1 62.6 63.0 63.5 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 57.4 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.1 58.4 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.2 76. COASTL WASH 56.9 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.3 57.5 57.8 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.4 77. E IDAHO 56.7 54.7 55.3 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.2 59.7 60.3 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 54.6 52.7 53.2 53.7 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.3 56.9 57.3 57.8 79. SW IDAHO 61.2 59.4 59.9 60.4 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 64.0 64.5 65.1 80. E OREG 57.1 55.5 56.0 56.4 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.0 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.7 60.1 60.6 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 61.0 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.0 62.3 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 82. OREG COAST 58.2 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.6 58.9 59.1 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.8 83. NE UTAH 58.3 56.2 56.8 57.3 58.0 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.1 61.6 62.2 84. SE UTAH 64.7 62.9 63.4 63.9 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.7 67.2 67.7 68.2 85. W UTAH 62.2 60.2 60.8 61.3 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.4 65.1 65.6 66.2 86. NE NEVADA 57.2 55.2 55.8 56.3 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.5 60.1 60.6 61.2 87. NW NEVADA 60.3 58.3 58.9 59.4 60.1 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.3 63.8 64.5 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 66.1 64.2 64.8 65.3 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.4 67.8 68.3 68.9 69.4 70.0 89. N CALIF COAST 63.3 61.9 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.4 63.7 63.9 64.2 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.9 90. CENT NEVADA 62.9 61.0 61.5 62.1 62.7 63.2 63.5 63.9 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.7 66.2 66.8 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 70.6 68.7 69.3 69.8 70.3 70.8 71.2 71.5 71.8 72.2 72.7 73.2 73.7 74.3 92. CENT CALIF COAST 65.0 63.2 63.7 64.2 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.8 66.1 66.4 66.8 67.4 67.8 68.3 93. S CALIF COAST 70.0 68.0 68.6 69.0 69.6 70.1 70.4 70.8 71.1 71.5 71.9 72.5 73.0 73.6 94. SE CALIF 77.6 75.4 76.0 76.6 77.2 77.8 78.2 78.6 79.0 79.4 79.9 80.6 81.1 81.8 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 77.8 76.0 76.6 77.0 77.6 78.1 78.4 78.8 79.1 79.5 79.9 80.5 81.0 81.6 96. SW ARIZONA 80.2 78.6 79.0 79.4 79.9 80.3 80.6 80.9 81.2 81.5 81.8 82.3 82.7 83.2 97. NE ARIZONA 62.7 61.1 61.6 62.0 62.5 62.9 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.2 64.5 65.1 65.5 66.0 98. SE ARIZONA 73.7 71.8 72.3 72.8 73.3 73.7 74.1 74.4 74.7 75.1 75.4 76.0 76.4 76.9 99. N NEW MEX 58.1 56.0 56.5 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.5 60.9 100. E NEW MEX 68.2 65.5 66.1 66.6 67.3 67.8 68.2 68.5 68.9 69.3 69.8 70.4 71.0 71.6 101. CENT NEW MEX 62.4 60.2 60.8 61.2 61.8 62.2 62.6 62.9 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.6 65.1 65.6 102. S NEW MEX 69.9 67.5 68.2 68.7 69.3 69.8 70.2 70.6 70.9 71.3 71.8 72.4 73.0 73.6 $$ $$