Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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833 FXUS08 KWNC 211332 POELTH TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 21 NOV 2024 VALID: JULY - SEPTEMBER 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 61.7 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7 63.1 63.4 64.0 64.4 64.9 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 65.0 63.1 63.7 64.1 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.5 66.9 67.5 68.0 68.6 3. N NEW YORK 64.6 62.5 63.1 63.6 64.2 64.6 65.0 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 67.1 67.6 68.2 4. S NEW ENGLAND 68.6 66.5 67.0 67.6 68.2 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.7 70.1 70.6 71.2 71.7 72.3 5. E GRT LAKES 66.5 64.1 64.7 65.2 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.0 67.4 67.8 68.2 68.9 69.4 69.9 6. OHIO 70.2 67.2 67.9 68.4 69.2 69.7 70.1 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.8 72.5 73.1 73.7 7. MID-ATL COAST 72.7 70.4 71.0 71.5 72.1 72.6 72.9 73.3 73.6 74.0 74.5 75.1 75.6 76.1 8. N APPALACHNS 67.8 65.3 65.9 66.4 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.3 68.6 69.0 69.5 70.1 70.7 71.2 9. CENT APPALACHNS 69.8 67.3 67.9 68.4 69.0 69.4 69.8 70.1 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.9 72.4 73.0 10. COASTL VIRG 75.1 72.8 73.4 73.8 74.4 74.8 75.2 75.5 75.9 76.2 76.6 77.2 77.7 78.2 11. S APPALACHNS 71.4 69.2 69.7 70.1 70.7 71.1 71.4 71.7 72.0 72.4 72.8 73.3 73.8 74.2 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 78.1 76.4 76.8 77.2 77.7 78.1 78.3 78.6 78.9 79.2 79.5 80.0 80.4 80.8 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 76.6 74.3 74.9 75.4 76.0 76.4 76.8 77.1 77.5 77.8 78.3 78.9 79.3 79.9 14. UPPER MICH 63.2 60.2 60.8 61.4 62.0 62.5 63.0 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.3 65.9 66.5 15. N MINN 62.8 59.8 60.4 60.9 61.5 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.1 64.7 65.3 65.9 16. E NORTH DAK 64.6 61.2 61.8 62.5 63.2 63.7 64.2 64.6 65.0 65.4 66.0 66.7 67.3 68.0 17. W NORTH DAK 64.9 61.3 62.0 62.7 63.5 64.0 64.5 65.0 65.4 65.9 66.5 67.3 67.9 68.7 18. E MONT 66.2 62.5 63.3 64.0 64.8 65.4 66.0 66.4 66.9 67.5 68.1 68.9 69.6 70.4 19. N-CENT MONT 63.2 59.6 60.5 61.2 62.1 62.8 63.4 63.9 64.4 65.0 65.7 66.6 67.3 68.2 20. S-CENT MONT 63.6 60.6 61.3 62.0 62.8 63.4 63.9 64.4 64.9 65.4 66.0 66.8 67.5 68.2 21. W MONT 61.1 58.8 59.4 60.0 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.4 64.1 64.6 65.3 22. N-CENT MICH 66.0 63.1 63.7 64.3 65.0 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.7 68.3 68.9 69.6 23. S MICH 68.9 66.1 66.7 67.2 67.9 68.4 68.8 69.1 69.5 69.9 70.4 71.1 71.6 72.2 24. E-CENT ILL 71.2 68.2 68.8 69.4 70.0 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.6 72.0 72.5 73.2 73.7 74.3 25. N ILL 68.7 65.3 66.0 66.6 67.3 67.8 68.3 68.7 69.2 69.6 70.1 70.9 71.5 72.2 26. N WISC 64.7 62.1 62.7 63.1 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.9 66.5 67.0 67.6 27. SE MINN 66.8 63.7 64.3 64.9 65.5 66.0 66.4 66.8 67.2 67.6 68.1 68.7 69.2 69.8 28. E SOUTH DAK 67.0 63.6 64.2 64.8 65.6 66.1 66.6 67.0 67.4 67.8 68.4 69.1 69.7 70.4 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 68.9 64.8 65.6 66.4 67.2 67.9 68.4 68.9 69.4 70.0 70.6 71.5 72.2 73.0 30. W SOUTH DAK 68.2 63.7 64.6 65.4 66.3 67.0 67.6 68.2 68.7 69.3 70.0 70.9 71.7 72.6 31. NE WYOMING 66.1 62.8 63.5 64.2 64.9 65.5 66.0 66.5 66.9 67.4 68.0 68.8 69.4 70.2 32. NW WYOMING 62.5 59.8 60.5 61.1 61.8 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.5 64.0 64.5 65.2 65.8 66.4 33. E IOWA 69.3 66.1 66.7 67.3 68.0 68.5 68.9 69.3 69.7 70.1 70.6 71.3 71.9 72.5 34. NW IOWA 69.4 65.8 66.6 67.2 68.0 68.5 69.0 69.4 69.9 70.3 70.9 71.7 72.3 73.0 35. CENT NEBRASKA 70.0 66.2 66.9 67.6 68.4 69.0 69.5 70.0 70.5 71.0 71.6 72.4 73.1 73.9 36. S NEBRASKA 71.3 67.8 68.5 69.1 69.8 70.4 70.8 71.3 71.7 72.2 72.7 73.5 74.1 74.8 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 67.5 64.5 65.1 65.7 66.3 66.8 67.2 67.6 67.9 68.3 68.8 69.5 70.0 70.6 38. E KENTUCKY 72.3 69.6 70.2 70.7 71.4 71.8 72.2 72.6 72.9 73.3 73.8 74.4 75.0 75.6 39. W KENTUCKY 74.4 71.5 72.1 72.7 73.3 73.8 74.1 74.5 74.9 75.3 75.7 76.4 76.9 77.5 40. SE MISSOURI 74.6 71.3 71.9 72.5 73.2 73.7 74.2 74.6 75.0 75.4 76.0 76.7 77.2 77.9 41. NE MISSOURI 72.8 69.5 70.2 70.7 71.5 72.0 72.4 72.8 73.2 73.7 74.2 74.9 75.5 76.2 42. NW MISSOURI 73.6 70.0 70.7 71.4 72.1 72.7 73.2 73.6 74.1 74.5 75.1 75.9 76.5 77.2 43. E KANSAS 75.8 72.1 72.8 73.5 74.3 74.8 75.3 75.8 76.2 76.7 77.3 78.1 78.7 79.4 44. CENT KANSAS 75.6 71.9 72.7 73.3 74.1 74.6 75.1 75.6 76.0 76.5 77.1 77.9 78.5 79.2 45. W KANSAS 74.4 70.9 71.6 72.2 72.9 73.5 74.0 74.4 74.8 75.3 75.8 76.6 77.2 77.9 46. NE COLO 66.1 63.0 63.7 64.2 64.9 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.6 68.3 68.9 69.5 47. SE COLO 67.6 64.9 65.5 66.0 66.6 67.1 67.5 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.0 69.7 70.2 70.8 48. W COLO 63.5 61.1 61.7 62.2 62.8 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.9 66.4 67.0 49. SW WYOMING 60.6 58.2 58.8 59.3 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.5 61.9 62.4 63.0 63.5 64.1 50. CENT TENN 75.0 72.2 72.8 73.4 74.0 74.4 74.8 75.2 75.6 75.9 76.4 77.1 77.6 78.2 51. W TENN 77.5 74.8 75.4 75.9 76.5 76.9 77.3 77.6 78.0 78.4 78.8 79.4 79.9 80.5 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 76.4 72.6 73.3 74.0 74.8 75.4 75.9 76.4 76.8 77.3 77.9 78.8 79.4 80.2 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 78.9 75.1 75.8 76.5 77.3 77.9 78.4 78.9 79.4 79.9 80.5 81.3 82.0 82.8 54. TX W OF ABILENE 80.2 76.8 77.6 78.2 78.9 79.5 80.0 80.4 80.9 81.3 81.9 82.7 83.3 84.0 55. N HI PLAINS TX 76.0 73.1 73.8 74.3 75.0 75.5 75.9 76.3 76.7 77.1 77.6 78.3 78.9 79.5 56. N GEORGIA 77.3 75.1 75.6 76.1 76.7 77.1 77.4 77.8 78.1 78.5 78.9 79.5 79.9 80.5 57. N ALABAMA 77.9 75.3 75.9 76.4 77.1 77.5 77.9 78.3 78.7 79.1 79.5 80.2 80.7 81.3 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 79.3 77.0 77.5 78.0 78.5 79.0 79.3 79.6 80.0 80.3 80.7 81.3 81.8 82.3 59. S ARKANSAS 79.5 76.4 77.1 77.6 78.3 78.8 79.3 79.7 80.1 80.5 81.0 81.7 82.3 82.9 60. E TX 81.2 78.1 78.8 79.4 80.1 80.6 81.0 81.4 81.8 82.2 82.8 83.5 84.0 84.7 61. DALLAS REG TX 81.8 78.5 79.2 79.8 80.6 81.2 81.6 82.1 82.5 83.0 83.6 84.3 85.0 85.7 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 83.1 80.7 81.3 81.7 82.3 82.7 83.0 83.3 83.7 84.0 84.4 85.0 85.4 86.0 63. FAR S TX 84.7 82.5 83.0 83.5 84.0 84.4 84.7 85.1 85.4 85.7 86.1 86.7 87.1 87.6 64. W-CENT TX 80.9 78.4 79.0 79.5 80.1 80.5 80.9 81.3 81.6 82.0 82.5 83.1 83.6 84.2 65. W TX PANHANDLE 79.2 76.4 77.0 77.6 78.3 78.8 79.3 79.7 80.1 80.5 81.0 81.7 82.3 82.9 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 80.1 78.8 79.2 79.5 79.9 80.2 80.4 80.7 80.9 81.1 81.4 81.8 82.1 82.5 67. CENT FLA 81.8 80.8 81.1 81.3 81.6 81.9 82.1 82.2 82.4 82.6 82.8 83.1 83.3 83.6 68. S FLA 82.6 81.8 82.0 82.2 82.4 82.6 82.8 82.9 83.1 83.2 83.4 83.6 83.8 84.1 69. FLA PANHANDLE 79.8 78.1 78.5 78.9 79.4 79.7 80.0 80.3 80.5 80.8 81.2 81.6 82.0 82.4 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 81.1 79.5 79.9 80.2 80.6 80.9 81.2 81.4 81.6 81.9 82.2 82.6 82.9 83.2 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 81.9 80.2 80.6 80.9 81.3 81.6 81.9 82.1 82.4 82.7 83.0 83.4 83.7 84.1 72. NW WASH 65.3 63.2 63.8 64.4 65.0 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.5 68.2 68.7 69.3 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 64.9 62.8 63.5 64.0 64.7 65.2 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.4 68.1 68.7 69.3 74. CENT WASH 67.4 65.6 66.2 66.6 67.2 67.7 68.0 68.3 68.7 69.1 69.5 70.1 70.6 71.1 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 62.3 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.5 62.8 63.0 63.3 63.6 63.9 64.4 64.8 65.2 76. COASTL WASH 60.4 59.2 59.6 59.8 60.2 60.5 60.7 60.9 61.1 61.3 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.5 77. E IDAHO 64.5 62.4 63.0 63.6 64.2 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.4 67.9 68.6 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 61.9 59.8 60.4 61.0 61.7 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.3 65.0 65.5 66.2 79. SW IDAHO 69.2 67.1 67.8 68.3 69.0 69.5 70.0 70.4 70.8 71.2 71.7 72.4 73.0 73.7 80. E OREG 63.8 62.0 62.5 63.0 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.8 66.4 66.9 67.4 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 66.2 64.9 65.3 65.6 66.0 66.3 66.6 66.8 67.1 67.3 67.7 68.1 68.4 68.8 82. OREG COAST 60.8 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.6 60.9 61.1 61.3 61.6 61.8 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.2 83. NE UTAH 66.1 63.9 64.5 65.1 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.4 69.1 69.7 70.3 84. SE UTAH 72.9 70.7 71.3 71.8 72.5 72.9 73.3 73.7 74.1 74.5 75.0 75.7 76.2 76.8 85. W UTAH 70.7 68.9 69.4 69.9 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.6 71.9 72.3 72.7 73.3 73.8 74.3 86. NE NEVADA 64.9 63.3 63.8 64.2 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.2 67.7 68.1 87. NW NEVADA 67.6 65.9 66.4 66.8 67.4 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7 69.0 69.4 70.0 70.4 70.9 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 71.2 69.7 70.2 70.5 71.0 71.3 71.6 71.8 72.1 72.4 72.7 73.2 73.6 74.0 89. N CALIF COAST 66.8 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.6 66.8 67.1 67.2 67.4 67.7 67.9 68.3 68.6 68.9 90. CENT NEVADA 70.4 68.9 69.3 69.7 70.2 70.6 70.8 71.1 71.4 71.7 72.1 72.5 72.9 73.4 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 75.6 73.9 74.4 74.8 75.2 75.6 75.9 76.1 76.4 76.7 77.1 77.5 77.9 78.4 92. CENT CALIF COAST 66.7 65.2 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.6 66.8 67.1 67.3 67.5 67.8 68.2 68.6 68.9 93. S CALIF COAST 72.4 70.7 71.2 71.5 72.0 72.3 72.6 72.9 73.2 73.4 73.8 74.2 74.6 75.0 94. SE CALIF 83.8 82.1 82.5 82.9 83.4 83.8 84.1 84.4 84.7 85.0 85.3 85.8 86.2 86.7 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 85.2 83.4 83.9 84.4 84.9 85.3 85.7 86.0 86.3 86.6 87.0 87.6 88.0 88.5 96. SW ARIZONA 86.4 84.8 85.2 85.5 86.0 86.3 86.6 86.8 87.1 87.3 87.7 88.1 88.4 88.9 97. NE ARIZONA 69.4 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.6 69.9 70.2 70.4 70.8 71.2 71.6 72.0 98. SE ARIZONA 79.0 77.1 77.6 78.0 78.5 78.9 79.2 79.5 79.8 80.1 80.5 81.0 81.4 81.9 99. N NEW MEX 64.9 62.9 63.4 63.8 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.2 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.6 67.0 67.4 100. E NEW MEX 74.8 72.0 72.6 73.2 73.9 74.3 74.8 75.2 75.6 76.0 76.5 77.1 77.7 78.3 101. CENT NEW MEX 68.8 66.7 67.2 67.6 68.1 68.5 68.8 69.2 69.5 69.8 70.2 70.7 71.2 71.7 102. S NEW MEX 76.1 73.6 74.2 74.7 75.3 75.8 76.2 76.6 76.9 77.3 77.8 78.4 78.9 79.6 $$ $$